NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76fe192cf485e33a8210a3dfb1fb7caf424a8fe2266ed1d4869dd0bc99776613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Warriors, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Warriors | 73c | 22,645$16,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,629.58 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 34c | 22,415$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,809.8 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Warriors | 0c | 18,767$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 32c | 17,074$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,548.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Warriors | 67c | 16,389$10,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,968.16 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raptors | 33c | 14,284$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,629.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors | 38c | 11,788$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.12 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Warriors | 69c | 9,890$6,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,809.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 43c | 6,152$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.08 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors | 36c | 5,390$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.23 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 32c | 5,044$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.25 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors | 37c | 4,781$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.22 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 47c | 4,289$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.2 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Raptors | 37c | 4,072$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.08 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Warriors | 70c | 3,996$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.26 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 44c | 3,878$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.81 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Warriors | 71c | 3,499$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 68c | 3,441$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.18 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 35c | 3,050$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 30c | 2,656$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.71 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Warriors | 67c | 2,606$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.28 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 32c | 2,193$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.12 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Raptors | 27c | 2,064$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.82 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Warriors | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 62c | 2,000$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.07 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Warriors | 50c | 1,895$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.37 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 37c | 1,858$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 33c | 1,816$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.67 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,807$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.66 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 57c | 1,679$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.04 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 64c | 1,633$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.65 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Warriors | 2c | 1,575$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Warriors | 64c | 1,558$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Warriors | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…f35ebacked Raptors | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.9 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 5c | 1,500$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Warriors | 67c | 1,491$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Warriors | 68c | 1,368$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Warriors | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 35c | 1,314$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.5 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Raptors | 31c | 1,270$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…4049backed Warriors | 69c | 1,262$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Warriors | 66c | 1,208$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 68c | 1,155$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.36 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Raptors | 33c | 1,135$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…dde1backed Warriors | 67c | 1,135$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,126$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.29 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors | 32c | 1,100$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.59 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 34c | 1,065$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.32 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,038$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.08 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Warriors | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked Raptors | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Raptors | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Warriors | 67c | 977.98$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.27 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Raptors | 35c | 908.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.42 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors | 31c | 906.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.63 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…3708backed Warriors | 69c | 900$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 32c | 848.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.08 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Warriors | 65c | 846.15$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 66cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…30c4backed Warriors | 69c | 804.43$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Warriors | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 67c | 800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 34c | 800$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Warriors | 64c | 779.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…c602backed Raptors | 38c | 777.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…3379backed Warriors | 74c | 757.61$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 32c | 757$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.77 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors | 33c | 727.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.71 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Warriors | 55c | 727.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…dc4dbacked Warriors | 66c | 630.91$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Warriors | 63c | 621$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.07 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Warriors | 65c | 613.85$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Raptors | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…27b9backed Raptors | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Warriors | 59c | 581.54$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…b7b9backed Warriors | 69c | 562.32$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 69c | 516$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.04 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 69c | 515.94$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…c252backed Warriors | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors | 32c | 502$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.58 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…667ebacked Warriors | 74c | 500.09$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 68c | 500$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.58 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 66c | 500$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Warriors | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Raptors | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.95 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Warriors | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…1628backed Warriors | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…3d32backed Warriors | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Raptors | 32c | 418$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.61 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Raptors | 42c | 413.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Warriors | 65c | 400.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Warriors | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors | 31c | 399.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Raptors | 34c | 399$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.