NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619f4428808f95333073a56e0da70c76a34da795c34e5e1deb73087e4505b458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Lightning, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lightning | 43c | 5,027$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.51 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Devils | 58c | 3,454$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.19 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Devils | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.98 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 42c | 1,671$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.66 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Devils | 58c | 1,070$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 44c | 877.22$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 47c | 851.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 42c | 717.03$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.53 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Devils | 56c | 702$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105e…4741backed Lightning | 53c | 697.75$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 57c | 657.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…6d99backed Devils | 58c | 651$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…ed5dbacked Lightning | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 49c | 499.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.1 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 42c | 489.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lightning | 47c | 430.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Devils | 47c | 327.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Lightning | 42c | 283$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lightning | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Devils | 57c | 213.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Lightning | 20c | 200.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 44c | 198.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Devils | 60c | 197.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lightning | 43c | 195.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 42c | 195.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lightning | 42c | 170$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lightning | 45c | 167.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Devils | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 41c | 159.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Devils | 78c | 154.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lightning | 45c | 148.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lightning | 43c | 122.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Devils | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Devils | 55c | 103.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Lightning | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 34c | 99.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 42c | 97.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Devils | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Lightning | 26c | 85.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Devils | 57c | 79.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Devils | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 45c | 62.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Devils | 64c | 57.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Lightning | 45c | 55.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…227bbacked Lightning | 42c | 54.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Devils | 58c | 51.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…e35dbacked Lightning | 42c | 47.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…fae8backed Lightning | 43c | 47.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…6783backed Lightning | 43c | 44.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 42c | 40.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…013ebacked Lightning | 44c | 40.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…e8e0backed Lightning | 42c | 40.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3b…2fcebacked Devils | 58c | 40.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…befdbacked Lightning | 42c | 39.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…1916backed Devils | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e97…87e8backed Lightning | 44c | 38.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…f6bebacked Devils | 56c | 38.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…ee81backed Devils | 57c | 38.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…17e5backed Devils | 58c | 38.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc515…2179backed Lightning | 42c | 38.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…e1d4backed Devils | 58c | 37.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…5b39backed Devils | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…3863backed Lightning | 41c | 37.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…6785backed Devils | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e7…4164backed Lightning | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…87d5backed Devils | 58c | 34.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…1d41backed Lightning | 43c | 33.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…ddd8backed Lightning | 44c | 33.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Lightning | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Devils | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…c5c1backed Devils | 56c | 32.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…d8efbacked Devils | 58c | 32.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950f…f59fbacked Devils | 58c | 32.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…7256backed Lightning | 42c | 31.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…e6f1backed Lightning | 43c | 30.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…b7d0backed Devils | 57c | 30.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…dd6abacked Devils | 56c | 30.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cae…931cbacked Lightning | 44c | 30.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…12fbbacked Devils | 59c | 30.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…ce2bbacked Lightning | 41c | 30.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Devils | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bd…c5f0backed Lightning | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…6cdfbacked Lightning | 41c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…5e33backed Lightning | 42c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…9ecdbacked Lightning | 44c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…e31abacked Devils | 58c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Devils | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b9adbacked Lightning | 42c | 26.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…0c05backed Devils | 58c | 26.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Devils | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…f860backed Devils | 60c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…b64abacked Devils | 58c | 25.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…5835backed Lightning | 42c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…9469backed Lightning | 44c | 25.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…6e4ebacked Devils | 58c | 25.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.