NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e8d64dfff476dd5d94f4c7d3da6799e46bcc267bf30773ed997e640cbf35bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Thunder, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $666,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Cavaliers | 70c | 26,683$18,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.18 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 15,999$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.72 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 41c | 15,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 44c | 13,857$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070.87 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Thunder | 45c | 12,662$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Thunder | 27c | 12,526$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.56 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 12,507$6,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.5 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Thunder | 47c | 11,489$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.02 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…15b6backed Cavaliers | 57c | 10,035$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…fbd0backed Thunder | 43c | 10,016$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,928$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 56c | 8,887$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.13 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Cavaliers | 79c | 8,785$6,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.96 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 7,486$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.83 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Thunder | 44c | 7,481$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 7,450$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.97 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Cavaliers | 59c | 7,010$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.24 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Cavaliers | 59c | 6,800$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Cavaliers | 61c | 6,763$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.53 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Cavaliers | 58c | 6,310$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.02 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Thunder | 43c | 5,903$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.14 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Thunder | 38c | 5,777$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.62 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 5,714$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.26 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Thunder | 42c | 5,110$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.88 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Cavaliers | 56c | 5,083$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.24 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Thunder | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Thunder | 44c | 4,691$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.54 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 45c | 4,434$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder | 46c | 4,391$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 41c | 4,118$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Thunder | 46c | 4,088$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.04 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cavaliers | 64c | 4,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 43c | 3,651$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.59 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Thunder | 44c | 3,544$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.33 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Cavaliers | 57c | 3,510$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.85 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Thunder | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 47c | 3,206$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.73 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Cavaliers | 55c | 3,161$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.44 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Thunder | 44c | 2,991$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.13 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Cavaliers | 58c | 2,964$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.26 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cavaliers | 56c | 2,603$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbc…3620backed Cavaliers | 58c | 2,594$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Thunder | 41c | 2,459$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.09 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,400$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.48 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder | 35c | 2,166$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.85 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Cavaliers | 58c | 1,912$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.81 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Thunder | 1c | 1,900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,819$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 1,653$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.18 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,572$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.75 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Cavaliers | 79c | 1,547$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,537$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.28 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,536$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.87 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Thunder | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,500$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…78e9backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,496$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…f16dbacked Thunder | 43c | 1,496$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…045fbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,493$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…fc9abacked Thunder | 43c | 1,435$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,412$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Thunder | 47c | 1,358$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.12 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,342$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Thunder | 25c | 1,340$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,334$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.35 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Thunder | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Thunder | 41c | 1,281$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.56 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Thunder | 38c | 1,276$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 44c | 1,257$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,254$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…9719backed Thunder | 46c | 1,218$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cavaliers | 59c | 1,150$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Thunder | 8c | 1,105$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 2c | 1,079$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,062$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.22 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 57c | 1,045$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.76 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,016$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.45 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,008$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.5 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Thunder | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…c566backed Thunder | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…ff59backed Thunder | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 999.95$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.98 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Cavaliers | 55c | 999.92$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Cavaliers | 50c | 990.5$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.25 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 38c | 916.66$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.78 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 44c | 897.67$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.97 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Cavaliers | 57c | 880.16$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Cavaliers | 55c | 880$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 872.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.51 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Cavaliers | 57c | 871.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 858.12$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.28 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.