NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x925e0d86286e61c9aec553fa3892269b4013bbafc399f82535cfa086e4bcdc45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 41c | 5,772$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.86 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 46c | 3,059$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 49c | 2,946$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.46 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,868$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.8 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche | 51c | 2,750$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.5 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Avalanche | 78c | 2,284$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.69 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche | 38c | 2,212$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.32 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,499$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 47c | 1,291$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Oilers | 54c | 1,227$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,118$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.78 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,031$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.15 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Oilers | 47c | 946$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.38 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Oilers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Avalanche | 54c | 801.97$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.06 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Oilers | 55c | 782$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Oilers | 56c | 719.68$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 31c | 702.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.83 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 26c | 611.17$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.41 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Oilers | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 47c | 599.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.97 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 500$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Avalanche | 53c | 494.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.97 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Avalanche | 70c | 487.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Avalanche | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Avalanche | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers | 22c | 388$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Avalanche | 78c | 375$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.94 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Oilers | 19c | 330.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 330.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Oilers | 49c | 314.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Avalanche | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Avalanche | 51c | 235.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…9bcbbacked Avalanche | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Avalanche | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Oilers | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Avalanche | 53c | 206.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Oilers | 48c | 205.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Oilers | 38c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Avalanche | 52c | 189.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Avalanche | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Oilers | 15c | 187.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…73cbbacked Oilers | 48c | 185.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 50c | 171.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Oilers | 29c | 170.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 47c | 139.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche | 68c | 132.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Avalanche | 58c | 119.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Avalanche | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…bc13backed Oilers | 43c | 116.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Avalanche | 53c | 109.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…7bbdbacked Avalanche | 53c | 103.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…ad67backed Avalanche | 53c | 100.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Avalanche | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Avalanche | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Oilers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Avalanche | 75c | 99.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Oilers | 52c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ec…db90backed Avalanche | 53c | 97.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…050bbacked Oilers | 48c | 96.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…a8edbacked Oilers | 48c | 96.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Avalanche | 53c | 94.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…d01ebacked Oilers | 48c | 93.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…91a5backed Oilers | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…4ca7backed Avalanche | 54c | 92.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Avalanche | 51c | 91.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…cdf6backed Avalanche | 53c | 89.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…391dbacked Avalanche | 53c | 88.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Avalanche | 46c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Avalanche | 56c | 61.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Avalanche | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Oilers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Oilers | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Oilers | 47c | 50.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Avalanche | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked Oilers | 50c | 49.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked Avalanche | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Oilers | 49c | 48.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Oilers | 52c | 48.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 47c | 46.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…5be5backed Avalanche | 50c | 45.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…c570backed Oilers | 50c | 45.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0244…c946backed Oilers | 45c | 43.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd5…a8cfbacked Avalanche | 52c | 41.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…ac9abacked Oilers | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…591dbacked Avalanche | 55c | 41.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…2720backed Oilers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…2ed3backed Avalanche | 55c | 39.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…0c7dbacked Avalanche | 55c | 38.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…65f8backed Oilers | 45c | 36.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…e595backed Oilers | 45c | 35.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 35.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…bc5fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 35.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…435bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 33.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.