TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f7f…472e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+56.2%+$585.65
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$664.46
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.12
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.77
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.14
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.52
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.8
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+100%+$24.65
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$20.41
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+64.6%+$16.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$576.64
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.11
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.85
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.74
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+141.2%+$26.54
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$28.9
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+66.7%+$19.07
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$18.35
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+224.9%+$30.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$457.66
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$594.58
Rays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.21
Red Sox vs. Giantsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Rays vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.77
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$27.24
Giants vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.35
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14.92
Seahawks vs. Jetsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+78.6%+$16.92
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$27.45
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+81.8%+$18.82
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+115.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,023.75
Cherbourg: Jelle Sels vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$480.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,063.44
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$496
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,077.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$611.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$573.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$388.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,003.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.