MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74399222a4df28e1575f71b75cd05c0a6c4b73200fb110af8a195595d11b5467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Giants, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Nationals | 52c | 34,146$17,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,764.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 48c | 9,374$4,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 76c | 9,370$7,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.18 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants | 48c | 7,798$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.96 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 52c | 7,597$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Giants | 48c | 5,532$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nationals | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Giants | 48c | 1,966$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.13 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 19c | 1,942$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Nationals | 17c | 1,734$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Nationals | 52c | 1,676$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.58 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Giants | 48c | 1,300$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 57c | 1,219$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Giants | 49c | 1,071$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.27 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Giants | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Giants | 53c | 931.7$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 51c | 889.97$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.88 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Nationals | 51c | 842.58$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.63 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Giants | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 36c | 690$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 4c | 650$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Nationals | 39c | 623.88$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 49c | 616.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Giants | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 71c | 576.83$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 64c | 574$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 49c | 537.56$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Giants | 47c | 450$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Giants | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…dd21backed Nationals | 52c | 408.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6951backed Nationals | 52c | 402.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Giants | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 61c | 399$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Nationals | 52c | 383.42$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…2c92backed Giants | 49c | 374.63$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…90f2backed Giants | 49c | 365.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Nationals | 52c | 346.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Giants | 49c | 332.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Giants | 58c | 323.21$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…950ebacked Giants | 49c | 317.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…ed9dbacked Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…6b6fbacked Nationals | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…cea7backed Giants | 48c | 230.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Giants | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…6b5abacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…f0e4backed Nationals | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Nationals | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Giants | 77c | 190.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 53c | 189.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 51c | 146.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Nationals | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nationals | 45c | 141.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Giants | 49c | 133.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b486backed Giants | 76c | 132.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…5051backed Giants | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Giants | 48c | 114.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…2198backed Giants | 50c | 109$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…df85backed Nationals | 51c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 50c | 107.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…087cbacked Giants | 49c | 103.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…0f9cbacked Nationals | 52c | 102.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…59bcbacked Nationals | 52c | 102.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…c041backed Giants | 49c | 101.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…b17cbacked Giants | 49c | 100.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Giants | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Nationals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Nationals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…b1dfbacked Nationals | 52c | 98.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Giants | 49c | 98.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…7c3abacked Nationals | 52c | 97.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…ff68backed Giants | 50c | 96.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0adbbacked Giants | 49c | 93.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…2469backed Nationals | 52c | 89.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Nationals | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Giants | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…71e3backed Giants | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nationals | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…33a2backed Nationals | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…3006backed Giants | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…9b68backed Giants | 49c | 74.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 31c | 74.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Giants | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Giants | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Giants | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Giants | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…3585backed Giants | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.