TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Oilers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings54c73,989$39,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,397.9836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Oilers46c37,749$17,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,279.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3a0…f8aabacked Kings54c32,000$17,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,719.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Oilers47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers46c15,352$7,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,001.091,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Kings62c13,757$8,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.6211441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Kings70c13,123$9,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0261…94f1backed Kings54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,520366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe425…6155backed Oilers46c12,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,520666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers24c9,835$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.111,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Oilers0c9,311$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.222733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings55c8,900$4,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.9116645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers15c6,932$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.5692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Kings55c6,555$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Oilers45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings54c6,082$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.9313845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers40c5,432$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.0417448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Oilers47c5,095$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.875164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Oilers46c4,989$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29511145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9614…5247backed Kings54c3,795$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Kings54c3,705$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.294047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Kings53c3,670$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.98854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Oilers46c3,357$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers46c3,251$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.3849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Oilers46c2,900$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33419555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers19c2,616$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Oilers47c2,546$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.6210448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings54c2,449$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.451,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings54c1,940$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.921,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0833…7191backed Kings56c1,900$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Kings56c1,823$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.944955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7115261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83bd…148dbacked Oilers44c1,700$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6c…623dbacked Kings56c1,650$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7265100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings77c1,607$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.541,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Oilers37c1,585$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.493040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked Oilers47c1,559$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Oilers46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6907549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba75…5eedbacked Oilers44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a23…4e9fbacked Oilers45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.971485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+82.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers46c1,439$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Kings72c1,397$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.765470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Kings67c1,374$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5461…d939backed Oilers44c1,350$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+76.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7803…1004backed Kings56c1,350$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Kings55c1,308$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.214841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Oilers42c1,283$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5384856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Oilers47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers46c1,180$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.2337738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers2c1,169$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…45e8backed Kings54c1,083$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.561250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…cae6backed Oilers46c1,042$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Oilers46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46012245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ebe…3ea2backed Oilers46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb9…f5ddbacked Kings55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Kings57c878.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.796848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings56c866.07$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0728152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb63…3ba1backed Oilers45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kings55c760$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34221750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dea…8128backed Kings55c714.55$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Oilers14c708.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.856764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers39c692.97$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.279942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Oilers44c688.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Oilers46c670.93$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Kings54c580$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.82045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers16c564.79$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7454418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Oilers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8eb3backed Oilers10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…b339backed Oilers33c466.13$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505e…7ddabacked Kings56c448.21$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers46c437.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Oilers46c434.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acf…e8dcbacked Oilers46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Oilers46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Oilers47c428.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers44c422.14$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings72c419.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4423761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings68c417.24$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7837254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a45…6b5fbacked Oilers47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Oilers47c376.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Oilers9c370.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.318350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdad8…00f7backed Oilers22c356.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93d…36cabacked Kings56c351.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e8…b663backed Oilers44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Oilers9c331.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.977516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Oilers30c329.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.88425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Oilers46c323.46$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.791560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Oilers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Kings55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Oilers28c299.07$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f0…5044backed Kings56c293.27$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x475b…1bb5backed Oilers45c284.44$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Kings55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.739955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Oilers9c265.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6214012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0c…2560backed Oilers46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.