NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130bf1eeacb99a96e542cd8a7fcc09a8d6e9b7e21192e797c0988c5b8e62b6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Stars | 41c | 39,552$16,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,143.52 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Avalanche | 68c | 18,596$12,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.25 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 14,283$7,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,711.59 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Avalanche | 59c | 8,196$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.38 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 48c | 5,407$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.44 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Avalanche | 60c | 4,989$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…36b0backed Avalanche | 53c | 4,250$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…e269backed Stars | 47c | 4,250$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 47c | 3,531$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.42 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Avalanche | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Stars | 44c | 2,988$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,660$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 59c | 2,589$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.44 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 33c | 2,385$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 41c | 2,244$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.45 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Stars | 40c | 2,223$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.35 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 46c | 2,077$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Stars | 23c | 2,066$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Stars | 21c | 1,886$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Avalanche | 79c | 1,871$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.75 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,825$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.3 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 44c | 1,803$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.52 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…ab82backed Stars | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…cab5backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,517$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.84 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 13c | 1,441$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,350$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,195$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.09 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Stars | 27c | 1,019$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,010$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.18 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Stars | 4c | 1,005$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Stars | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…f574backed Avalanche | 59c | 999.97$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Avalanche | 58c | 983.24$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.96 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Stars | 43c | 931.84$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.31 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Stars | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Stars | 2c | 898$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 57c | 820.16$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Stars | 32c | 809.91$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.38 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 42c | 742$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.64 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Avalanche | 62c | 705.52$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Stars | 43c | 699.62$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 23c | 687$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche | 62c | 678.45$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Stars | 41c | 614.63$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Stars | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 573.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Avalanche | 61c | 513.11$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 58c | 504.38$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…268bbacked Stars | 47c | 475$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4912backed Avalanche | 53c | 475$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Stars | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars | 14c | 417$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 39c | 409.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Avalanche | 55c | 400.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Avalanche | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Avalanche | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Stars | 41c | 384.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars | 28c | 380.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Stars | 40c | 371.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Stars | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Stars | 44c | 331.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…fc48backed Stars | 18c | 311.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Stars | 47c | 310$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 29c | 305.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…0e52backed Stars | 23c | 301.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Avalanche | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Stars | 7c | 285$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Avalanche | 58c | 282.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…ff03backed Stars | 9c | 257.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 38c | 246.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stars | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Avalanche | 59c | 242.26$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…75c3backed Stars | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Stars | 43c | 237.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Stars | 25c | 207.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Avalanche | 59c | 202.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6fbbbacked Stars | 22c | 195.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…9a59backed Avalanche | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Avalanche | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…0426backed Stars | 44c | 175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Stars | 18c | 173.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2ac8backed Stars | 44c | 172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 171$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…9ae6backed Stars | 44c | 171$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Avalanche | 56c | 171$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…abb6backed Stars | 44c | 169.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Avalanche | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…7addbacked Avalanche | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…0a2abacked Stars | 44c | 166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…51efbacked Stars | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…2e19backed Stars | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce43…a695backed Avalanche | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.