TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Clippers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$712,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3db…ff3abacked Clippers58c107,022$62,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,072.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa083…0795backed Bucks42c107,000$44,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,060450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers49c39,590$19,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,375.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks65c33,465$21,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,743.6247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Clippers54c31,549$17,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,031.5611656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Bucks76c30,224$22,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,383.6522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Clippers57c22,915$12,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,967.7833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Bucks72c11,559$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.1729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bucks46c10,358$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,616.3134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Bucks41c8,860$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.634766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Bucks50c7,520$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.0317546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Clippers50c7,440$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.0825833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Clippers50c7,383$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,675.627647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Bucks53c6,673$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.4520248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Bucks42c6,128$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.17451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Clippers67c6,057$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks50c5,928$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.2520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Bucks42c5,701$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.723450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks46c5,233$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.5696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Bucks43c4,598$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.319437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Clippers51c4,157$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.516537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Bucks50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00019448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Clippers11c3,991$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.9716838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Bucks51c3,919$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.418343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Clippers51c3,661$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.061,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks45c3,599$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.9337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks70c3,512$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.081,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02e…fe03backed Clippers54c3,476$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers55c3,275$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.0361345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Bucks63c3,126$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.6512540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Bucks46c3,070$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.9511952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Bucks43c2,791$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.711355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Bucks42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.997860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks52c2,497$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.2588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Clippers57c2,164$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.2470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Bucks45c2,137$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.828521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Bucks46c2,121$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.3125016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks46c2,044$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.9472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks50c2,019$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.5256945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Bucks51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9914438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Clippers57c1,980$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Bucks62c1,972$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Clippers54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbcf…d6a9backed Bucks49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+111.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe973…7338backed Clippers51c1,800$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9181442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks47c1,743$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.6215741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Bucks48c1,711$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.996747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Clippers48c1,564$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.3370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9832130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Bucks50c1,485$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.718354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Bucks46c1,400$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75615237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Clippers19c1,391$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2160%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks45c1,359$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.5350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Clippers36c1,343$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.1436751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Clippers22c1,334$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers58c1,305$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Clippers58c1,270$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.8145647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Clippers40c1,229$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0112232%39 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks44c1,196$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.8147848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c1,165$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Bucks48c1,026$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.914034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks44c1,019$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.641,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Clippers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa586…98b7backed Clippers60c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5952657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041e…dcb1backed Clippers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb382…c986backed Bucks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202584%21 W · 4 L+6.8wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xef01…34d1backed Bucks47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadcb…33cebacked Clippers55c1,000$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5452470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…e51bbacked Clippers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5302676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+39.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x059d…b4edbacked Clippers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5402466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d5…1333backed Bucks46c1,000$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5452770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2204…13b1backed Bucks48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3662…d445backed Bucks41c1,000$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5952661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f82…a687backed Bucks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x770c…9a9cbacked Clippers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e0…c057backed Clippers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202572%18 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4925…6646backed Bucks46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d728backed Bucks46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecf…e2edbacked Clippers53c1,000$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3593…4b88backed Clippers55c1,000$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5452365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd032…ad75backed Clippers52c1,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5152979.3%23 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x43d7…7acebacked Clippers53c1,000$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b3…02debacked Bucks49c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5152871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x96df…87a3backed Bucks46c1,000$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5452470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7129…e949backed Bucks48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Bucks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52016563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Clippers57c999.94$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9635046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bucks53c999.71$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.861,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Bucks54c971.41$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.8147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks45c952$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Bucks17c917.15$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.245827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Clippers2c900$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Bucks57c880.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.55347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Clippers57c866.96$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.177150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers55c843.24$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Clippers51c831.99$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Bucks44c796.81$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.8114051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Clippers3c789$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.455502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.