TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Red Sox, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox14c12,338$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.3954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox47c8,987$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.81,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants53c5,874$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.372,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox11c4,480$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants56c3,082$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.21,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.5469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox5c1,833$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…ad1dbacked Red Sox11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox47c1,593$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.6649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x645a…16adbacked Red Sox48c1,450$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants76c1,152$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.631,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Red Sox9c1,142$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ab…3bb0backed Red Sox48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Red Sox25c869.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.610719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb2…7a7abacked Giants52c769$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants76c758.97$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.662,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c83…9655backed Giants52c681$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Red Sox31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox2c612.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2546631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox8c612.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4923938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Giants70c578.56$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5718449.5%91 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Giants52c499.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants53c496.46$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.345,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Giants52c472.95$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.026753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox23c394$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1879740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox9c383$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.031,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Giants55c370.6$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7710550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x690b…c419backed Red Sox11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Red Sox6c359.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0755152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox38c323.66$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.999645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Giants53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0247348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Red Sox12c279.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Giants53c276.59$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.68543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox45c222.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.331,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1cd9backed Giants53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Giants68c187$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8419650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Giants55c180.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3631356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants53c165.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.591,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e6…213ebacked Giants55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Red Sox9c144.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Red Sox9c141.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.757035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox48c111$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3aa…e5febacked Red Sox17c108$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.362161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a4…932dbacked Red Sox48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4718243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed1…d086backed Giants53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9539…cfdfbacked Red Sox11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6580%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Giants52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.081,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants72c95.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Giants53c94.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.778454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6032…f272backed Giants53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Red Sox46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0214146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Red Sox46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Red Sox47c84.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Red Sox48c84.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6423444.9%105 W · 129 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacc1…e0fcbacked Red Sox48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox23c72.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.684,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Red Sox36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Giants52c66.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0740152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Red Sox46c65.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0315553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Red Sox28c63.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Red Sox47c56.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Giants53c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f5a…1d01backed Red Sox48c54.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Giants53c53.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2729552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1190…2a70backed Giants56c48.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7f…472ebacked Red Sox46c47.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb4…da3cbacked Red Sox48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Red Sox44c33.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b9…0218backed Red Sox48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf62…227dbacked Red Sox46c30.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1518850%94 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9238…aae4backed Giants53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.422445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Giants54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Giants55c19.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9137552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants59c18.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.