MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0361b3efa8aaabfe9d175520ba4af5d39d3a144bc6e603ec030c66a0dba47f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Rays, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,928,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 38c | 1,182,363$447,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447,183.19 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 223,890$138,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,078.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rays | 0c | 165,392$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.76 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Blue Jays | 63c | 159,039$100,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,021.37 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 150,000$93,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,999.99 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 131,600$81,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,008 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 62c | 115,000$71,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,700 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 62c | 100,000$62,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 63c | 89,184$56,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,997.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 80,094$49,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,435.9 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 62c | 77,000$48,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,990 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 28,959$17,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,004.43 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jays | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 21,532$13,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Blue Jays | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 13,888$8,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.44 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blue Jays | 63c | 13,300$8,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Blue Jays | 62c | 10,740$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.2 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 66c | 7,964$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 5,318$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 38c | 3,289$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 64c | 2,752$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.35 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Blue Jays | 63c | 2,635$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.95 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 2,600$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,449$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.58 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 63c | 2,116$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 14c | 1,737$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.42 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays | 37c | 1,659$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.83 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rays | 37c | 1,650$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.49 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked Blue Jays | 63c | 1,607$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4193backed Rays | 37c | 1,605$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,595$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…a5cbbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 4c | 1,539$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rays | 20c | 1,433$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 39c | 1,370$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.73 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rays | 36c | 1,145$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.64 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rays | 7c | 1,100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rays | 2c | 1,067$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,065$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,041$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.04 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 14c | 1,012$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 35c | 937.07$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.97 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Blue Jays | 62c | 900$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Blue Jays | 63c | 873.02$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 37c | 850$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rays | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 629.24$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Blue Jays | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 598.03$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.67 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rays | 37c | 591.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 39c | 572.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 37c | 547.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Rays | 27c | 523$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Blue Jays | 63c | 520.63$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 513.93$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 7c | 501.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 37c | 500.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Blue Jays | 61c | 490.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…437cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 61c | 481.61$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 63c | 478.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 13c | 476.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Blue Jays | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rays | 37c | 451.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Blue Jays | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Blue Jays | 62c | 320.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Blue Jays | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jays | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Blue Jays | 63c | 299.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ee…3e36backed Rays | 38c | 299.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Rays | 38c | 260.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Rays | 37c | 246.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…64d2backed Rays | 38c | 234.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e2…d736backed Rays | 38c | 233.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…8c02backed Rays | 38c | 232.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3e22backed Rays | 38c | 232.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…d247backed Rays | 38c | 232.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…6db0backed Rays | 39c | 231.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420a…e4e6backed Rays | 38c | 231.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3158backed Rays | 39c | 231.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…3358backed Rays | 39c | 230.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…d222backed Rays | 38c | 230.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dee…b0fcbacked Rays | 39c | 229.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…a52cbacked Rays | 38c | 229.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.