TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof HOTU, 9INE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe8…3549backed HOTU60c15,226$9,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,033.1313954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed 9INE44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed HOTU56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bfc…af2cbacked HOTU53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed 9INE1c3,739$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.591,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 9INE38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98885358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 9INE42c2,003$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.4410551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954f…07c5backed 9INE47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed HOTU56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69a6…d2d9backed HOTU59c1,760$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7f…472ebacked 9INE41c1,758$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1c…6165backed 9INE47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eac…ac66backed 9INE47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked 9INE38c1,391$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4210550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 9INE18c1,300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.750833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked 9INE38c1,239$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5440…edd4backed 9INE38c1,151$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed 9INE46c1,000$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5746340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed 9INE38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38097230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked HOTU71c965.04$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.421,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed 9INE38c950.42$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked 9INE38c723.61$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.974247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9INE41c562.02$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.111,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked HOTU54c557$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.227343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9INE28c554$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.032,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abc…9ff7backed 9INE32c538.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9INE40c528.82$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.573,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 9INE26c523.36$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.161,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2593…6d05backed HOTU60c499.83$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked 9INE38c475.47$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6852936.3%192 W · 337 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…ddf9backed HOTU58c453.69$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea40…c3ddbacked 9INE47c429.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9INE44c419.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.595,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed 9INE44c344.44$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5523245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HOTU56c341.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.662,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked HOTU55c287.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2426553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…fc07backed 9INE5c240.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed 9INE43c232.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked 9INE43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9INE44c227.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked HOTU54c209.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.648941.9%205 W · 284 L-14.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed HOTU56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8853746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked 9INE38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56c…1cf9backed 9INE38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc017…71c1backed HOTU59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 9INE16c154$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6457422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed 9INE28c139.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.24528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked 9INE32c135$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.916146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 9INE21c134.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0960147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…f037backed 9INE38c106.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked HOTU58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4561854.9%339 W · 279 L-18.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed HOTU58c98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.161127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked HOTU57c87.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.026746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked 9INE44c71.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0740%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0e2…d949backed HOTU59c68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.882962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985b…ce2cbacked 9INE47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed 9INE28c60.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8729350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked 9INE43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed 9INE27c59.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.225045.2%113 W · 137 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed 9INE28c59.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6919442.8%83 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed HOTU77c57.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked HOTU69c56.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6622931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccc…9918backed HOTU72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9INE43c53.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.335,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked HOTU57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6312669%87 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed 9INE42c51.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7454032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed 9INE27c50.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked 9INE42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked HOTU53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked 9INE41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.673762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed 9INE45c48.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed 9INE28c47.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4419843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…4cc0backed 9INE41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.452544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed HOTU68c44.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed 9INE41c42.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked HOTU71c42.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 9INE41c41.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0315347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked 9INE38c40.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.654012.5%5 W · 35 L-9.7wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-70.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed HOTU57c39.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed 9INE45c35.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.673161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed HOTU63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7567651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed 9INE42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4742…4af2backed 9INE47c29.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456b…945abacked HOTU73c27.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8432…d2c4backed HOTU73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e1…0badbacked HOTU73c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212281.8%18 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick77cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked 9INE42c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…9657backed HOTU54c22.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.222951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e1…850bbacked HOTU63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed HOTU54c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.133743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed HOTU78c19.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.267255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x672f…13ccbacked HOTU80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61da…dc20backed HOTU74c15.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.