TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Jazz, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 584 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3672…edbdbacked Spurs73c15,932$11,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,281.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Jazz22c6,533$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.6919249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs74c5,107$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.4844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs61c4,931$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.231,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Jazz32c4,709$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Spurs70c3,595$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.6547751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz38c3,440$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.6681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Jazz32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Spurs68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Spurs68c2,925$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.954766%31 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Jazz37c2,694$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.3547448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Spurs68c2,507$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.178843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b09…45b0backed Jazz34c2,206$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz35c2,187$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Spurs67c2,030$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.953250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jazz4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8039018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Jazz52c1,913$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ea…bf18backed Spurs68c1,803$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f7f…472ebacked Jazz32c1,802$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Jazz17c1,759$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6125536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Jazz31c1,752$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.383540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs63c1,689$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.433,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz10c1,680$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.265218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Jazz69c1,372$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.611,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Jazz31c1,200$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3726934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Spurs55c1,178$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.6553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Jazz18c1,132$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz23c1,126$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d1…fc97backed Jazz28c1,067$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.874440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz34c1,036$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.251,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jazz32c1,018$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.651,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df1…6583backed Jazz33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b6…9d5ebacked Spurs67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz35c999.37$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.231,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Jazz28c780$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e2f…2785backed Spurs71c669.1$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.391770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe08f…05bdbacked Jazz30c628.03$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e76…3372backed Jazz35c549.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Spurs80c549.17$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7138151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa09…94f6backed Spurs67c502.76$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Spurs67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1654143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e6…af95backed Spurs79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Spurs64c477$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.937960.8%48 W · 31 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Jazz43c463.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.389038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Spurs68c434.86$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.052,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…5862backed Jazz37c407.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Jazz6c388.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+210.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Spurs67c378.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0694951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs67c334.24$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Jazz5c332.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6534524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddfe…c5a6backed Jazz36c329.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Jazz29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8735447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae1…5fb0backed Spurs69c299.97$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9912043.3%52 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs66c284.49$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.691,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Jazz8c275$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Jazz38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Spurs53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.527731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz31c249.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x940a…840fbacked Spurs70c242.74$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Jazz29c236.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9859743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz39c228.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.321,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Jazz41c208.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.117545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Jazz32c204.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6926749.8%133 W · 134 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…7010backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc822…d1bfbacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…b885backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick60cpaid+54.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4f3…a721backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dfb…3943backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a0…f7a9backed Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…d8cebacked Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d87…7c90backed Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd35…1ab1backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a9e…54a8backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd1…f50fbacked Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a9…bd7bbacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4fbdbacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…998bbacked Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd45…c687backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…2764backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe325…9408backed Spurs68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36c…5bbbbacked Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe85…ea58backed Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7da…de45backed Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-61.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa306…55f2backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ca…e23fbacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…8141backed Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4925…5e30backed Spurs67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661520%3 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf54b…7100backed Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…63b9backed Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11aa…c28fbacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aac…7fa5backed Jazz32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd5ed…07e4backed Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…860bbacked Jazz33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.