TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5f5…a33f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50.97
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$74.97
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$99.89
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$71.04
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$53.37
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$223.34
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$113.86
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$48.63
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200.44
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100.37
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$92.64
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$89.07
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$97.03
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$203.36
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.14
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.32
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.94
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$56.41
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.25
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.46
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked PHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+278.1%+$784.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.34
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.4
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$118.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$180.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+94.5%+$116.45
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+72.9%+$95.35
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$147.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$328.62
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$90.8
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$260
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$241.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$147.53
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$389.92
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.89
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+155.6%+$267.76
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.54
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.27
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.13
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.02
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.94
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$243.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+79.1%+$115.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$609.88
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65.49
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$53.58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$104.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+51.8%+$78.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$120.78
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$110.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$38.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.09
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+131.9%+$116.11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$212.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$704.14
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+340.1%+$379.92
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.72
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$165.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.31
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs fnatic (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.62
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MIBR (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.52
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Predatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$49.95
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130.26
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.28
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Ramsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$132.4
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+185.7%+$197.56
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$486.82
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+59.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Kalmychata (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+218.6%+$306
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$129.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$143.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$818.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.