TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies51c13,796$7,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,760.0325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies51c6,679$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.7169852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Grizzlies51c4,202$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,058.9747751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Kings49c4,000$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.3717744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies53c2,628$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.281,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kings49c2,424$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1881,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings48c2,219$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Kings52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9936248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Kings49c1,927$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9446943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Kings50c1,489$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.514549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Kings52c1,442$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Grizzlies51c1,101$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.6558951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Grizzlies50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings49c971.26$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.542,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies52c968.76$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Kings49c906.12$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick31cpaid-88.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings46c650.22$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings42c640.95$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.992,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies51c578$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.042,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies49c527.51$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Grizzlies51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24510246.1%47 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Kings52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Kings47c426.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.443732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Grizzlies54c407.41$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4123248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings47c402.13$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies54c368$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2848054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Grizzlies52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings49c287$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.093,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x890a…093cbacked Kings49c283.06$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.73259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bca…e829backed Kings49c277$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ba…6468backed Grizzlies52c251$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…c6d8backed Grizzlies50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d17…bc4cbacked Grizzlies50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792f…cb67backed Grizzlies50c239.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e79…9219backed Grizzlies52c215$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Kings48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Grizzlies50c199.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0226150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Grizzlies52c190.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.578251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6214…bccdbacked Kings49c189$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Grizzlies51c176.37$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4224533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Kings50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Grizzlies52c165.19$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6418053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Kings50c158$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Kings51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Kings50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Grizzlies46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8116346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Kings49c142.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6960346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Grizzlies53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.37537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings47c128.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies50c113.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies48c103$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Kings47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4740952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Grizzlies50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Grizzlies54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5917145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeef…b62ebacked Grizzlies51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Grizzlies50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Grizzlies54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.077261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies51c70.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Grizzlies50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9f…d42cbacked Grizzlies51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Kings48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.814046.4%65 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Grizzlies54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Kings52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.169452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Kings46c55.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.562,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd352…07a6backed Grizzlies54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Grizzlies54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Grizzlies50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Kings52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb9…d7ddbacked Kings51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Grizzlies52c48.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.414139%55 W · 86 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3646…4d91backed Grizzlies51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.063348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed Grizzlies52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19f…f745backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3552…f07bbacked Grizzlies54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0416849.4%83 W · 85 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings46c32.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.180744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Grizzlies51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked Kings54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec0…82ddbacked Grizzlies47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe985…7a09backed Grizzlies51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5e…82e7backed Kings49c29.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Grizzlies49c29.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.16953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd9…00b1backed Grizzlies52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9911651.7%60 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.