TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c16,208$8,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,166.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c15,914$7,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.0515545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over51c9,800$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under50c7,867$3,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,933.574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c7,577$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,884.312,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c5,075$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.0129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under49c4,146$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.981,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c3,928$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under52c2,307$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.4341652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Under48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0921747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e8…29f1backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0921526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c2,082$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.072,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.151,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4115244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c999.96$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.982,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over49c930$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c806.84$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under50c742.56$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2835651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over51c735.29$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37518842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over52c699.08$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.351,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over54c603.29$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7829458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67cc…942fbacked Over51c493.65$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.764845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4062…3ba1backed Under49c453$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under50c371.28$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6448347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under46c302.01$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf318…317fbacked Over53c228$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3641…2864backed Over52c225$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b1…306bbacked Over50c218$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c201.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.111,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.47248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10634645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1049852%51 W · 47 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…0559backed Over50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e7…4763backed Under53c186.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.791553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Over51c185$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ed…bc4bbacked Under49c165$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b72…34e7backed Under52c164$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218a…e227backed Under49c163$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Under54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1524533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44ee…1447backed Under53c148$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c145.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d5…38d4backed Under49c141$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over50c139.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7518053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Over53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…512dbacked Over53c127$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36a…917ebacked Over53c123$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ead…16d3backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018536.2%67 W · 118 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd937…9192backed Over53c116$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9531…a759backed Over53c103$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a31…532cbacked Under53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over40c100.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.172,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213318.8%25 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Over50c99.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7513550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a3…8248backed Under50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5911251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c81.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.432,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a6…9347backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x467b…82c3backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under47c56.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ec…ad73backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.619451.5%100 W · 94 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c52.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6223348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over49c51.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.488749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.099452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019957.8%115 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5615…19cebacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under49c34.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4230244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcca…da80backed Under50c30.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f8…47aabacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aed…bd17backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e4…5364backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69f0…1121backed Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.783669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…748cbacked Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.787454.1%40 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea47…680ebacked Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.