NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6eff375fa1a3240dead32f4fe69bd4057fbbe6d9ea1b672f75135491f05684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 16,208$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 15,914$7,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.05 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 51c | 9,800$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 50c | 7,867$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 7,577$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.31 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 5,075$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.01 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 49c | 4,146$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.3 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 3,928$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 2,307$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.43 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…eb74backed Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…29f1backed Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,082$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.07 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.15 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 999.96$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 49c | 930$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.7 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 806.84$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 50c | 742.56$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.28 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 51c | 735.29$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 52c | 699.08$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 54c | 603.29$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 51c | 493.65$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4062…3ba1backed Under | 49c | 453$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 371.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 46c | 302.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf318…317fbacked Over | 53c | 228$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…2864backed Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…306bbacked Over | 50c | 218$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 201.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…0559backed Over | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…4763backed Under | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 51c | 185$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ed…bc4bbacked Under | 49c | 165$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…34e7backed Under | 52c | 164$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…e227backed Under | 49c | 163$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…1447backed Under | 53c | 148$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 145.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…38d4backed Under | 49c | 141$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 50c | 139.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…512dbacked Over | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…917ebacked Over | 53c | 123$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…9192backed Over | 53c | 116$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…a759backed Over | 53c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…532cbacked Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 40c | 100.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 81.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 56.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 46c | 52.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 49c | 51.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…19cebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 49c | 34.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Under | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aed…bd17backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…f29abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…5364backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…1121backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…680ebacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-0.5)Grizzlies won
- Kings vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.