NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703e16666c4979622562ec916e7d7747f68992868fdf3ecd2213f3b1b8203014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Kings, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,068,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 102,373$59,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,996.6 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 43c | 54,377$23,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,627.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Kings | 42c | 42,345$17,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,784.8 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Kings | 42c | 32,000$13,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,439.97 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Grizzlies | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Grizzlies | 58c | 25,979$15,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,911.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Grizzlies | 57c | 24,000$13,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,281.98 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 22,073$12,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,491.55 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Kings | 42c | 22,000$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,240 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 3c | 21,378$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 58c | 19,999$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.79 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 43c | 18,643$8,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,016.43 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 42c | 17,928$7,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,529.87 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.38 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Grizzlies | 58c | 15,690$9,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,606.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 0c | 15,269$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 13c | 15,074$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Kings | 41c | 14,422$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.83 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies | 55c | 14,045$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,320.32 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 13,859$7,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.75 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 13,621$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,267.27 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 0c | 13,306$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed Kings | 2c | 12,335$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Kings | 0c | 11,303$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings | 0c | 10,062$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 3c | 10,035$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.93 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Kings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Kings | 26c | 9,490$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.78 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Grizzlies | 56c | 9,144$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.25 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 2c | 9,098$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.65 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kings | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 43c | 8,902$3,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.91 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…e021backed Grizzlies | 58c | 8,700$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 12c | 8,678$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.3 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Kings | 42c | 8,581$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.47 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Kings | 43c | 7,845$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 40c | 7,448$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.12 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 42c | 7,020$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.14 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 7,000$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.83 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 42c | 6,561$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.22 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Kings | 45c | 6,551$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.36 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Kings | 42c | 6,000$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 42c | 5,700$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.98 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Kings | 2c | 5,685$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 0c | 5,512$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 1c | 5,439$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 43c | 5,138$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.21 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…dd41backed Kings | 12c | 5,025$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Grizzlies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Kings | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Kings | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.94 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 25c | 4,938$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 4,935$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.51 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 4,695$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.88 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 64c | 4,639$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 43c | 4,620$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 4,520$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.8 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Kings | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Kings | 45c | 4,456$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Kings | 38c | 4,321$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.77 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Grizzlies | 57c | 3,836$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.41 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…2894backed Kings | 1c | 3,722$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Kings | 44c | 3,639$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.15 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 58c | 3,534$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.41 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.97 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…9fbbbacked Kings | 6c | 3,321$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Kings | 41c | 3,221$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.6 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Grizzlies | 59c | 3,100$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.48 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Kings | 42c | 2,900$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.98 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 2,830$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.49 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…7bcabacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Kings | 5c | 2,699$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Kings | 34c | 2,680$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.99 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 43c | 2,540$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.08 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,381$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.36 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Kings | 42c | 2,353$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Kings | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Kings | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 2,205$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Kings | 3c | 2,200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Kings | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Grizzlies | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Grizzlies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kings | 43c | 1,993$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.94 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…ed7fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Kings | 44c | 1,816$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,808$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.98 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bb…42edbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 1,707$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b76…adb3backed Kings | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,665$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…fb23backed Kings | 9c | 1,646$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…dd38backed Kings | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kings | 41c | 1,560$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.74 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,550$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.44 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-0.5)Grizzlies won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.