TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d71…87d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Earnings at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$112.2
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+391.8%+$239
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+179.6%+$834.99
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$289.5
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$202
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$168
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$392
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$434
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$33.6
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+350.8%+$1,361.25
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+300%+$824.99
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20.71
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$156
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$123.3
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$338
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$141.2
Will Brian Armstrong say "Token Sale" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Sam Altman say "Terminator" or "Movie" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$249.66
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+86.6%+$64.4
Will Sam Altman say "Creativity" or "Artist" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$121.2
Will Sam Altman say "Deep Fake" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.16
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$105.4
Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sam Altman say "Polymarket" or "Bet" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+523.2%+$103.36
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Will Saif Ali Khan be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$251.19
Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+251.3%+$1,001.51
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+30.9%+$200.18
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$198.34
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$36
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+94.9%+$84.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$35.7
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$31.8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$93.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or higher on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$65.76
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.66
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.2%+$43.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$117
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$51.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.08
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.4
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$425.36
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$365.77
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$90
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$189.99
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+125%+$500.55
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$192.74
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.71
Will Jara win by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+48.8%+$573.18
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$684.78
Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+48.8%+$103.44
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+34.5%+$65.78
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$575.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$78.21
Will Solana reach $140 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$18
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Will XRP reach $2.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$37.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$76.15
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+108.8%+$104.19
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$132.2
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25%+$86
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25.2%+$18.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$380.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$759Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$759
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$324
Will Ethereum reach $3,700 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$25.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$278.88
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+45.8%+$31.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$54.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$86.8
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$70.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$167.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. LSUbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.