NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x590d221a8ef492c22a8170fea54067fc51d5548a193ac669cc71e2358537fdd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,401,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,718,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,401,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 43c | 278,284$119,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,835.47 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Nuggets | 42c | 157,246$65,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,830.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Rockets | 57c | 135,471$77,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,218.38 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Rockets | 57c | 122,801$69,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,726.5 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 44c | 66,232$29,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,870.73 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Rockets | 36c | 64,765$23,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,316.38 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 28c | 59,230$16,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,485.24 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 56c | 50,597$28,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,334.45 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 57c | 50,440$28,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,750.91 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 60c | 41,974$25,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,825.54 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockets | 46c | 35,985$16,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,404.2 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 57c | 35,390$20,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,330.75 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Rockets | 16c | 35,000$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.48 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 44c | 26,666$11,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,820.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 59c | 25,431$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,431.3 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rockets | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.99 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Nuggets | 44c | 21,465$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,976.51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Nuggets | 44c | 20,481$9,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,395.13 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Rockets | 53c | 19,602$10,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,483.04 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets | 64c | 17,720$11,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,340.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Rockets | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Nuggets | 43c | 16,300$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,245 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 56c | 15,295$8,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,535.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Rockets | 49c | 14,444$7,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,055.36 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 13,000$8,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.98 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets | 2c | 12,778$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockets | 65c | 11,109$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.72 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Nuggets | 58c | 10,858$6,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.52 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 55c | 10,854$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,964.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 44c | 10,500$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Rockets | 56c | 10,000$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.59 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Rockets | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Nuggets | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Rockets | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Rockets | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.75 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 44c | 9,960$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,614.8 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rockets | 69c | 9,912$6,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,882.62 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 9,411$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…ef29backed Rockets | 36c | 9,268$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.78 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Rockets | 54c | 9,252$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.78 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 52c | 9,169$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Rockets | 45c | 9,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Nuggets | 36c | 8,924$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.52 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets | 19c | 8,442$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.28 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rockets | 56c | 8,131$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.55 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 8,131$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.55 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Rockets | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…ba54backed Rockets | 55c | 7,600$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194e…36a4backed Nuggets | 44c | 7,599$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.97 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Nuggets | 45c | 6,985$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Rockets | 56c | 6,940$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.4 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rockets | 32c | 6,500$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 51c | 6,491$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockets | 13c | 6,150$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.18 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Rockets | 24c | 5,744$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.29 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,710$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.63 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Nuggets | 44c | 5,631$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.31 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Nuggets | 67c | 5,598$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Nuggets | 65c | 5,509$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.79 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Nuggets | 74c | 5,065$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6dfbbacked Nuggets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rockets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.94 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…e84fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 4,966$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets | 44c | 4,951$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.33 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rockets | 55c | 4,840$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.91 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…00ffbacked Rockets | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rockets | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…d892backed Nuggets | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…2289backed Nuggets | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 4,432$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Rockets | 57c | 4,427$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.45 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 45c | 4,333$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…80dfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 4,150$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…19b1backed Rockets | 55c | 4,150$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rockets | 42c | 4,111$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.22 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets | 54c | 4,046$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.78 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…8207backed Rockets | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…b267backed Nuggets | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…1c29backed Nuggets | 45c | 3,850$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…af65backed Rockets | 55c | 3,850$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…3f16backed Nuggets | 45c | 3,800$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…3073backed Rockets | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Nuggets | 38c | 3,756$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.59 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Rockets | 55c | 3,746$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.27 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,728$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,672$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.93 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 55c | 3,626$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.36 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Nuggets | 72c | 3,616$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.74 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 5c | 3,554$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Nuggets | 37c | 3,500$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Nuggets | 45c | 3,476$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.08 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Rockets | 32c | 3,450$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Nuggets | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Nuggets | 37c | 3,387$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.39 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 3,359$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.09 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.