NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223d892e09f88be22eee453014e1079f9064606060783e9665f2103cac75203d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 9,037$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.9 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 6,956$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.12 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 6,016$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 5,913$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.63 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,008$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 51c | 2,894$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.94 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Over | 51c | 2,350$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.62 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Over | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 50c | 1,678$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 51c | 1,402$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.98 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 915.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 849.61$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.61 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 51c | 811.55$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.89 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 53c | 566.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.48 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 170.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 169$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b1e9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d778backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 51c | 85.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…0decbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…0842backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…8f80backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 51c | 46.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 51c | 29.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 50c | 28.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…122fbacked Over | 51c | 26.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaba…ba7cbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…4476backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Nuggets vs. RocketsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.