TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7897…0842

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.33
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$20.35
Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.19
Pistons vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$58.31
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36.82
Rockets vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$43.38
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$22.12
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+90.7%+$36.28
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.17
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+100%+$30
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.01
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.85
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.77
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+55.8%+$27.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$26.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$26.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.