TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c14,577$7,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.472,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under51c11,796$6,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,021.1160549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over49c10,219$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.1548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over51c5,446$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.765644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb351…5fbfbacked Under48c4,965$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.383043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over50c4,444$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.8928850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e31…9dcabacked Under49c4,100$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0092454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75d…1246backed Over51c4,100$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0091637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c3,777$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.611,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c3,157$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.872,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c2,885$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb542…1424backed Over52c2,733$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c1,920$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,746$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.422,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over50c1,339$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2817744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c1,201$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c1,122$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7819359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c1,066$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c962$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.241,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a1…0d1bbacked Over52c792.31$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed Over51c746.67$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.876440.6%26 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c725.99$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.482,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c616$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.321,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa763…709ebacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019845.5%90 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4741backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.926065%39 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558540%34 W · 51 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Over50c495$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.520542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over52c438.58$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5241742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Over51c355.43$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.162751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c355.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.973,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd509…b06abacked Under49c289.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over53c270.21$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12778652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ff…1721backed Over49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c208.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266c…df0fbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…c2bdbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3678…d0a5backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd954…4185backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2146…4279backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdec…2581backed Over49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3112865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6817456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.692,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c164$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.836854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over79c152$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.92,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over54c147$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over51c115$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3580148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c113.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.114841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Over54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.854050%20 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…cd76backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fdf…2b11backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf4d…757fbacked Over51c96.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.08933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Over54c94.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4424446.7%114 W · 130 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Under48c91.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.794465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c83.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.132,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…012cbacked Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over54c74.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1722467.9%152 W · 72 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Under51c71.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3216552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7897…0842backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under25c66.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.673,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under24c65.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.731,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.451,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under51c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6223348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6916555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ce…77eabacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Under23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.512951.9%67 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa873…9ed0backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b61…eb32backed Under48c49.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under48c47.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2387647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2829156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over49c40.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8130244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Under49c40.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.413938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c39.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aed…bd17backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6abe…2205backed Over54c38.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.894546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4619150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612153.7%65 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.