NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e3ec4f0561908650675f2dd3fe99ae0eea158c9592da0db9fd6ed98f6a5f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34b8…0245backed Over | 53c | 23,627$12,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,104.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0302…0924backed Under | 47c | 23,623$11,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,102.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…88dbbacked Over | 53c | 23,425$12,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,009.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…c6c9backed Under | 47c | 23,424$11,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,009.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 46c | 2,709$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.05 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 55c | 1,745$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.46 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,416$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 56c | 963.14$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.78 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…ed9bbacked Over | 54c | 542.09$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 508.25$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Over | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 54c | 124.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 78.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…368cbacked Over | 53c | 75.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…40febacked Over | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…50f0backed Over | 54c | 33.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…6745backed Under | 49c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.