NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3d759697af12da01595a728e70db60b8a591cc4460cc4f817720a79373d4ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 48c | 25,049$12,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,926.46 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 21,743$11,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,089.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 10,434$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 47c | 5,670$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.1 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 2,734$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.71 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 48c | 2,628$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.52 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 48c | 2,264$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.3 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 419$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 395.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Under | 51c | 390$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…a988backed Under | 51c | 334$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99dd…6f77backed Under | 52c | 155.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 97.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…cf7dbacked Under | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 51c | 90.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 56c | 41.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…4dafbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.