TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$361,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Clippers51c164,273$84,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,318.5715443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers49c89,435$43,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,602.472,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers49c58,800$28,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,275.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Lakers48c23,803$11,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,317.5459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Lakers48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4006253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers51c15,410$7,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,801.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers50c13,819$6,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,909.3166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers52c11,883$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,120.331,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lakers50c7,361$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers49c7,190$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.96241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers48c6,777$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.121,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Lakers48c5,648$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.964544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Lakers51c5,588$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.2412341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Lakers48c5,280$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.620542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Clippers50c5,013$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.5380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Clippers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.835556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers49c4,601$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.061,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Clippers55c4,130$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.771540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb22…ce57backed Clippers51c4,020$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0703450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Clippers52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Lakers50c3,800$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88d…796dbacked Clippers50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafe7…7e7fbacked Lakers50c3,800$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9002365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e6…265bbacked Clippers50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Lakers52c3,379$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.7814156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Lakers49c3,108$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.97353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers47c3,087$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Clippers53c3,000$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.1215461.7%95 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Clippers53c2,842$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.193675%27 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers47c2,687$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Clippers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Clippers51c2,400$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23419448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc233…f731backed Lakers49c2,290$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers52c1,941$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.683,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Lakers46c1,870$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.5624048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers52c1,748$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.072,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers52c1,632$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.421,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Clippers52c1,515$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.823135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Lakers50c1,385$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.7495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Clippers52c1,375$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7155939%23 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Lakers49c1,326$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.273363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Clippers51c1,080$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55135651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Lakers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Lakers50c999$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.55945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Clippers51c985$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3514356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Clippers51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Lakers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Clippers52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013860.1%83 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Clippers52c840.78$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.572,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Lakers49c806.66$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1317147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers49c799.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9978445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Clippers51c792$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.926746.3%31 W · 36 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Clippers51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.542845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Clippers49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.57342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Lakers49c720.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.666744.8%30 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Clippers52c704.44$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd76…53d0backed Lakers49c650$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Lakers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30027161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Lakers49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30641742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Clippers52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Clippers54c550.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x753b…3d0fbacked Clippers52c545$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x605a…4576backed Lakers48c544.74$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Clippers55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.742437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Lakers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27034645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Clippers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…e847backed Clippers5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers50c498.12$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.062,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Clippers53c485.19$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.152,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Lakers53c413.74$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.136123%14 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Lakers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Clippers53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Clippers50c392.3$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ba…9fbbbacked Clippers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Lakers49c326.84$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8420434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5d…6fcabacked Clippers52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers46c299.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lakers48c275$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.373,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Clippers52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Clippers51c236.29$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5116553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Lakers48c236.28$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.871,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Lakers47c234.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.54465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ba1…b0b6backed Clippers51c226.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.64946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers40c211.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Lakers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.086051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Lakers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Clippers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019254.7%105 W · 87 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Lakers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa099…d81fbacked Lakers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.272326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers50c199.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9536842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497f…da80backed Lakers50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Lakers50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lakers47c178.52$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Clippers56c171.43$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc0…a988backed Lakers50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854250%21 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d3…45c3backed Clippers51c163.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Lakers50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511652.6%61 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.