NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63f341f9e3ea85d83afbb1444682bf79029465d102d226fdda45595d18e4852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Clippers | 43c | 11,633$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.11 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Lakers | 57c | 6,153$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.64 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Lakers | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Clippers | 43c | 3,700$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…9bd5backed Lakers | 57c | 3,700$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 42c | 3,635$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…3de0backed Lakers | 58c | 1,542$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Clippers | 33c | 1,450$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Clippers | 45c | 1,280$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.95 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 43c | 1,033$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.97 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Lakers | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 46c | 623.29$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Lakers | 59c | 474.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.58 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lakers | 55c | 344.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Lakers | 57c | 309.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Lakers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Lakers | 49c | 285.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Lakers | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Lakers | 60c | 233.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 44c | 201.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Lakers | 56c | 182.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Lakers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Clippers | 41c | 179.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…a09dbacked Lakers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Lakers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Lakers | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Lakers | 59c | 169.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Lakers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Lakers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 56c | 163.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Lakers | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 49c | 131.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…a811backed Lakers | 59c | 125.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Lakers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Lakers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Lakers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Lakers | 58c | 70.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Lakers | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 45c | 59.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 57c | 55.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Lakers | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Lakers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…8c9bbacked Lakers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 50c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lakers | 58c | 48.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Lakers | 50c | 48.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Clippers | 44c | 46.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…1d6abacked Lakers | 60c | 43.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Lakers | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Lakers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94db…26bbbacked Clippers | 42c | 34.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Lakers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…5e47backed Lakers | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Lakers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Lakers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Lakers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Lakers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed Lakers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…947cbacked Lakers | 58c | 24.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Clippers | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Lakers | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2701…0679backed Lakers | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…fb18backed Lakers | 57c | 20.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Lakers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a3…0f0bbacked Lakers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…ec68backed Lakers | 59c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…f78abacked Lakers | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…c93ebacked Lakers | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Clippers vs. LakersLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.