TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9c6…830c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST8053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$438.03
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$276.99
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+146.9%+$118.99
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$24.7
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25.1%+$26.1
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+36.1%+$5.3
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$50.99
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+96.1%+$33.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+203%+$38.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+32.4%+$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+76.1%+$86.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+34.2%+$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$17.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Baylorbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.