Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d0b4f9afd9c4ae8c9a3ce4f784bddedf1a12e0b7ad3d4785fa692e0f0be8f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Team Yandex, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 9,129$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 6,031$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.4 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Team Yandex | 36c | 5,867$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 3,905$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.25 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Yandex | 52c | 1,600$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Team Yandex | 3c | 1,064$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,017$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…96b0backed Team Yandex | 50c | 992.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 950.7$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.01 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 925.69$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.71 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 890$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Yandex | 26c | 837.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 757.88$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Yandex | 28c | 680.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Yandex | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 587$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 579.23$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.59 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Yandex | 28c | 555$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 528$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Yandex | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 430.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 390.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 377.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Yandex | 23c | 360$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Yandex | 8c | 322.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Team Yandex | 27c | 298.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 293.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d9cdbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 201.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Yandex | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Team Yandex | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 193.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…fe56backed Team Yandex | 39c | 179.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 157.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 142.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Yandex | 47c | 137.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 133.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 133.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Team Yandex | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Yandex | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 92.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Yandex | 37c | 88.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Yandex | 51c | 87.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 83.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Team Yandex | 28c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Team Yandex | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 63.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Team Yandex | 50c | 59.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 49.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…d20abacked Team Yandex | 31c | 34.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Yandex | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…b34abacked Team Yandex | 40c | 29.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 27.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…0a93backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…e79bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 18.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…5db1backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb67b…89cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.