TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b86…3010

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
166
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST5275%39 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$6.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$19.2
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Split 1: Lock-in Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$320.49
Will G2 Esports win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+126.3%+$55.26
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$41.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.96
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$76.9
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.5
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.9
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.45
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29%+$32.49
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.6%+$37.57
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.21
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutetbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$49.97
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$67.2
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.9
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$18.9
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58.8
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.98
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$15.44
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.67
Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Ugo Humbertbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Australian Open Men's: Cristian Garin vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Australian Open Men's: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.2
Australian Open Men's: Patrick Kypson vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovicbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.5
ASB Classic: Magda Linette vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.21
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$16.2
Brisbane International: Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskovabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.6
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.8%+$21.83
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.65
Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$10
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.2
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danesbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Saint Louis Billikens vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.95
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$79.81
Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.04
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.78
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$9.47
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+57.1%+$30.14
Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolvesbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+35.2%+$14.09
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.86
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21.27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+37%+$14.58
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$10.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.73
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$50.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.79
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$10.82
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.07
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$41.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$34.01
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Egypt vs. Benin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.9%+$5.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$147.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.