Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Robert Morris Colonials
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cd495f64c7c8a7eb37979da45b8110b3ed59c6da2bfe27ef884e0b63ff370b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof Northern Kentucky Norse, Robert Morris Colonials
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robert Morris Colonials | 40c | 3,565$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 73c | 2,636$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.38 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 77c | 2,605$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 1,621$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 58c | 1,454$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.97 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 38c | 1,353$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Robert Morris Colonials | 53c | 1,065$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.87 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 48c | 1,062$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 1,038$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Robert Morris Colonials | 27c | 1,008$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.43 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Robert Morris Colonials | 56c | 934.95$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.38 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Robert Morris Colonials | 27c | 916.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Robert Morris Colonials | 22c | 731$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Robert Morris Colonials | 34c | 638.3$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 37c | 626.68$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 504$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Robert Morris Colonials | 25c | 421.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 360.24$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 52c | 310.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 60c | 232.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Robert Morris Colonials | 27c | 205.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 205$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 52c | 199.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 180$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 79c | 176.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 48c | 163.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Robert Morris Colonials | 27c | 119.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 89.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 42c | 60.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 55c | 46.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 38.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 30.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Robert Morris Colonials | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Robert Morris Colonials | 53c | 28.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.