Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Cristian Garin vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33458b434991be09d7687d8ab5217ddf43ca6b213ca532dd6c96cfc037208356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Garin, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Garin | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Darderi | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Garin | 36c | 3,806$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.73 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Darderi | 71c | 3,533$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.08 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Garin | 18c | 3,487$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.43 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Garin | 38c | 3,272$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Darderi | 66c | 3,077$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.76 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Darderi | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Garin | 35c | 1,973$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.96 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Darderi | 66c | 1,935$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.36 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Darderi | 63c | 1,767$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.68 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Darderi | 66c | 1,751$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.98 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Darderi | 62c | 1,624$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.12 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Darderi | 73c | 1,379$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Garin | 14c | 1,375$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Garin | 25c | 1,054$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Garin | 2c | 944$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Garin | 15c | 925.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Garin | 33c | 875.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Garin | 38c | 863$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Darderi | 64c | 815.81$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Garin | 36c | 800$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Garin | 31c | 754.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Darderi | 64c | 748.36$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.41 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Garin | 14c | 703.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Garin | 10c | 686.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Darderi | 78c | 671.42$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Garin | 26c | 667.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Garin | 35c | 661.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Garin | 47c | 560.34$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Garin | 3c | 512$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Garin | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Garin | 36c | 252.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Darderi | 70c | 250.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Garin | 20c | 227.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Darderi | 59c | 226$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Darderi | 62c | 208.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Garin | 29c | 200.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Garin | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Garin | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Garin | 20c | 191.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Garin | 25c | 174.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Garin | 34c | 158.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Darderi | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Garin | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Darderi | 68c | 147.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…a5cebacked Darderi | 64c | 138.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…3ac5backed Garin | 18c | 132.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…3a72backed Garin | 36c | 132.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…820ebacked Garin | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Garin | 37c | 131.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Garin | 21c | 117$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Garin | 16c | 112.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Garin | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Garin | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…1c13backed Garin | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Garin | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Darderi | 64c | 93.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Garin | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Garin | 26c | 88.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Darderi | 64c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Darderi | 64c | 84.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Darderi | 64c | 84.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Darderi | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Darderi | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Darderi | 58c | 77.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Darderi | 64c | 77.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Darderi | 64c | 77.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Darderi | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Garin | 38c | 72.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Darderi | 61c | 71.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Garin | 30c | 66.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Garin | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Darderi | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Garin | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Garin | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Garin | 33c | 49.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Garin | 33c | 45.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Darderi | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Garin | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Darderi | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Garin | 33c | 36.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Garin | 39c | 36.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Garin | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Darderi | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Darderi | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Darderi | 64c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Darderi | 67c | 22.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Darderi | 70c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Darderi | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Darderi | 63c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Darderi | 70c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Darderi | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Cristian Garin vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Garin vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Garin (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.