TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9cd…432c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST5457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,612
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+66.7%+$400
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490.69
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$690
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertbacked Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+150%+$900
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$485.08
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Moise Kouame vs Elias Ymerbacked Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Clement Taburbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Clement Chidekhbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.8%+$239
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+120.2%+$1,036.99
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.2%+$359.99
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$538.15
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$537.31
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$510
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$240.16
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5,250
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$481.8
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.7%+$1,985.54
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,176.7
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$600
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$159.99
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$48.23
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$318
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$695
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$710.1
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Play-Inbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$88.4
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs BIG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+60%+$150
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$74.73
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners (BO3)backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$71.99
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs illwill (BO3)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$372
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+69.3%+$291.14
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$123
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Keyd (BO3)backed Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.36
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill (BO3)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+48.3%+$10.99
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs STATE (BO3)backed STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$142.9
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$77.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$85.72
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$296.99
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.75
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$235.91
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$143
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+900%+$1,187.64
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$194.68
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.14
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$69.52
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+300%+$900
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.7%+$387.3
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$186.47
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+685.7%+$1,978.15
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$821.52
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$355.67
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$312.29
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$117.11
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+107.3%+$810.47
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$278.76
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$388.09
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$218.16
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45.65
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.9%+$42.96
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.9%+$549.13
Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.01
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$338
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$387.99
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+185.7%+$166.83
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$457
Valorant: Global Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$450
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.8%+$113.6
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
Valorant: GIANTX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$881.93
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.6%+$804
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$152.18
Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100.1%+$1,423.52
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$501.99
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+60.3%+$1,049.6
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$379.77
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$35.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$639
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,677
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$999.99
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$660
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$303.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$715
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.