Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037c8b6595c29b5ea9cf08b2eb0b507b0da1ab87fbed56edf8c57b5e58082b4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Marozsan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $529,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x979f…4032backed Medvedev | 77c | 53,548$41,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,370.6 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marozsan | 30c | 47,621$14,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,137.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marozsan | 19c | 23,479$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Medvedev | 71c | 19,687$13,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Medvedev | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Medvedev | 80c | 13,594$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.84 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Medvedev | 64c | 13,474$8,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marozsan | 19c | 13,285$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.07 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Marozsan | 20c | 12,450$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Marozsan | 18c | 11,322$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.05 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan | 42c | 7,885$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.02 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Marozsan | 19c | 6,397$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Marozsan | 39c | 5,933$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.37 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Medvedev | 61c | 5,095$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.02 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marozsan | 18c | 4,856$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.66 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marozsan | 19c | 4,725$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.92 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Marozsan | 47c | 4,699$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.52 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Marozsan | 34c | 4,640$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.75 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marozsan | 37c | 4,527$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.1 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Marozsan | 18c | 3,812$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.36 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Marozsan | 17c | 3,109$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.48 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Medvedev | 33c | 3,072$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Medvedev | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Marozsan | 67c | 2,794$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.8 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…1130backed Marozsan | 68c | 2,496$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Marozsan | 19c | 2,342$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Marozsan | 51c | 2,252$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.31 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marozsan | 16c | 2,172$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.74 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed Medvedev | 63c | 2,160$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Medvedev | 42c | 2,084$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.49 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked Medvedev | 57c | 2,000$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Marozsan | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Medvedev | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Marozsan | 19c | 1,600$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marozsan | 21c | 1,577$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.11 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Medvedev | 33c | 1,534$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marozsan | 2c | 1,514$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Marozsan | 25c | 1,505$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.85 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Medvedev | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marozsan | 23c | 1,471$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Medvedev | 34c | 1,446$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.54 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Marozsan | 26c | 1,424$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.79 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Marozsan | 17c | 1,400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Marozsan | 67c | 1,333$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Medvedev | 75c | 1,279$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Marozsan | 20c | 1,204$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Medvedev | 55c | 1,191$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.52 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Medvedev | 38c | 1,132$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.81 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Marozsan | 59c | 1,105$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.79 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Medvedev | 60c | 1,086$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Medvedev | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Marozsan | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Marozsan | 18c | 955.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Medvedev | 37c | 934.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.43 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Medvedev | 67c | 929.97$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Medvedev | 49c | 926.91$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.99 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Medvedev | 69c | 922.2$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Marozsan | 56c | 897.25$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.65 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Marozsan | 48c | 885.05$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.64 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Medvedev | 29c | 799.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.99 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Medvedev | 75c | 799.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Marozsan | 56c | 770$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.97 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Marozsan | 34c | 757.97$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Medvedev | 75c | 700.53$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Medvedev | 31c | 700$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…3d05backed Marozsan | 12c | 657.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Marozsan | 16c | 632.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Marozsan | 46c | 611.9$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Marozsan | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148d…2181backed Marozsan | 18c | 555.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Medvedev | 77c | 542.33$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Medvedev | 74c | 538.85$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marozsan | 16c | 535.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Marozsan | 19c | 530.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…07dabacked Marozsan | 19c | 515$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Medvedev | 51c | 509.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Medvedev | 69c | 505.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marozsan | 16c | 500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Marozsan | 20c | 469.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Medvedev | 59c | 435.47$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Marozsan | 28c | 432.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…e117backed Marozsan | 10c | 412.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Medvedev | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Marozsan | 18c | 349.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Marozsan | 28c | 334.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marozsan | 66c | 330.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…8bb4backed Marozsan | 64c | 314.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Marozsan | 16c | 305.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Medvedev | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Medvedev | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Medvedev | 34c | 299.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Medvedev | 58c | 299.95$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed Medvedev | 27c | 299.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Medvedev | 49c | 298.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Marozsan | 18c | 294.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked Marozsan | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Medvedev | 63c | 271$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3c…243bbacked Marozsan | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Medvedev | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanthis page
- Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs MarozsanMarozsan won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)Marozsan won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Marozsan (+2.5)Marozsan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.