TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x272b…0a6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT8245.1%37 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$641.12
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$18.65
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$807Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$807
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Halys vs. Giron: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63%+$232
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Set 1 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Djokovicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$120
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Tatiana Prozorova vs Heather Watsonbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Belluccibacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$316.96
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$28.15
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+254.3%+$32.59
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127%+$25.41
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$181.88
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$3,181.67
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.87
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$315.33
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$726.2
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$178.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$647
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$233.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$295.71
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$189.58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$340.08
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.28
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$282.36
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.81
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$141.65
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.12
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$835.79
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.55
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.43
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.91
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,121.4
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$153.63
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.37
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.68
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$413.28
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.76
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$295.47
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.46
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.25
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$230.47
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$76
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$349
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$323
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+97.8%+$586.66
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$429
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$230.44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$1,792.67
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$117.82
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$101.89
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$128.78
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$306.26
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$247.06
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$103.01
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$431
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$402.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$976.8
Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$686
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$811.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$347.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$27.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$350.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.