TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Under63c116,184$73,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,053.947545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over37c55,379$20,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,490.2840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over37c10,962$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.011,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over37c9,911$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.473953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Over37c5,222$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.12748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over37c4,811$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.0741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a44…9cc6backed Over37c3,913$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over37c3,849$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.064264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over38c3,712$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.421,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over38c3,630$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over37c2,943$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.0258352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under62c2,873$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under63c2,716$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.782,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Over38c2,618$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c2,200$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over37c1,924$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.0326750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under61c1,871$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1635829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over37c1,856$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.8183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over33c1,820$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4829533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over38c1,267$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.411045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c1,159$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.292,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over27c1,083$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.375240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over38c1,024$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.618453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under70c929.35$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.195662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under63c899.98$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over37c883.78$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32710663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over37c735.95$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.34744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over38c734.77$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2156553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c719$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5838147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over37c588.07$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.783,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c553.76$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.062,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c530.94$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6414551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over35c523.23$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.133250%16 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Over33c522.54$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5615051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over38c500$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked Over48c403.42$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.762944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over52c322.16$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over49c320.47$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.432857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under55c291.46$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.424946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over38c288.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.767149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under58c282.84$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.963154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Over46c280.66$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.171250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Under60c279.53$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6210650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under61c277.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2166552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under53c273.26$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.461172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Over37c260$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.24254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under61c256.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.212065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over50c244.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.463429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under67c241.09$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Over52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over38c219.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.441,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under64c216.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9841050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under62c214.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.695754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under66c213.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4128340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked Over38c212.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over37c191.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6924442.6%104 W · 140 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over38c189.67$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.084158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over50c176.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.866134.4%21 W · 40 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Over37c173.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over35c169.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.544560%27 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under62c156.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2969653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.510346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Over39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.54725.5%12 W · 35 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over45c133.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.057152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over37c130.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.115556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over37c129.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9410346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over38c126.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under64c123.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.91656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c120.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.321,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over43c116.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.254134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under70c101.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3965721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under55c100.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over38c97.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.987761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Over38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.593847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c94.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0428749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569d…6b18backed Under61c94.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over38c91.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7545651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over27c88.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.916550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd3…bd04backed Under61c79.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.722751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over38c79.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2321155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over53c75.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8814549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over39c74.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9353849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under61c71.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.483375.8%25 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over38c69.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3122853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Over37c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.062334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over38c63.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0719153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Over32c63.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under79c60.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6426657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over32c60.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over37c57.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.363941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over25c55.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under59c55.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5844…12e2backed Over37c54.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under71c52.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1516235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.249846.9%46 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over38c50.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over50c50.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3611054.5%60 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.