TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$885,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$789,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $885,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 845 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Kings39c185,408$72,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,423.2616442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Kings21c126,582$26,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,582.2212146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche61c100,000$61,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,00022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kings23c50,258$11,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,338.1913841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings38c50,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.8214650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Kings21c47,000$9,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,87020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Avalanche62c31,523$19,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,978.588946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche62c29,544$18,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,326.723164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Avalanche61c26,375$16,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,286.4210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche61c25,699$15,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,022.6148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kings38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.961,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Kings38c21,716$8,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,251.9556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings19c20,740$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.0340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings35c16,639$5,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Avalanche62c16,294$10,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,191.611478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Avalanche62c15,761$9,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,989.2932151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.9612950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings39c11,329$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.1585250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche61c8,876$5,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,445.884555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche73c8,570$6,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.9989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Avalanche62c7,818$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.695756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche76c7,762$5,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.561,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Kings39c7,138$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.772343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche60c6,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings38c5,600$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.181,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche62c5,565$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.4327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.0252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings0c4,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.451895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche77c4,255$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.362,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Avalanche80c4,240$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…b0b8backed Kings8c4,022$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.761136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6497…d577backed Kings38c3,802$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d16…a0dabacked Kings38c3,770$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Kings40c3,615$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Avalanche62c3,467$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.643158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Kings42c3,449$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.784141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.6959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings22c2,928$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.3425552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Kings11c2,834$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a55…b5babacked Kings38c2,736$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche63c2,707$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.661,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche62c2,627$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.0528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc8…a337backed Kings38c2,557$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.62714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x065e…e1a5backed Avalanche62c2,526$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4858…db0bbacked Avalanche62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb82…5461backed Avalanche62c2,459$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.27850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Avalanche62c2,361$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.137755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche61c2,350$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.0189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Kings39c2,242$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.523548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Kings39c2,069$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.7711644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Kings21c1,842$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.918149.7%90 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f8…a813backed Avalanche62c1,804$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf705…7186backed Avalanche62c1,743$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Avalanche73c1,737$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.3414946.3%69 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb792…1658backed Avalanche62c1,685$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kings9c1,635$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0729533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Avalanche62c1,341$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5714151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Avalanche61c1,298$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.45364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Kings38c1,171$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.933650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f96…e7f0backed Kings10c1,138$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Kings38c1,134$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.929038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings39c1,100$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Avalanche61c1,100$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9931148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9172…af2fbacked Kings19c1,091$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Avalanche62c1,075$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.475947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b50…e9cebacked Avalanche62c1,069$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Avalanche61c1,038$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.665662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche61c1,024$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.433652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings38c1,010$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Kings19c1,001$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Avalanche61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed Avalanche62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Kings38c999.97$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9933837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kings38c991.08$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6122946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings22c978.07$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.22,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4738…70dbbacked Kings30c976.52$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.753056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Avalanche61c966.92$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.145955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17be…a73abacked Kings39c938.7$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.09147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-87.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8504…bf2ebacked Kings30c937.64$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.442846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Kings39c838.16$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.883935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Avalanche63c819.49$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.216254.8%34 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Kings20c810.9$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.841833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche60c797.46$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9826750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Avalanche78c792.09$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.3619759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Kings38c785.44$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.473743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Avalanche80c778.54$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.711,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Avalanche72c758.56$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.639157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Avalanche72c758.56$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6318452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Avalanche75c757.75$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5411251.8%58 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8735…162fbacked Kings39c741.08$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.021513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-75.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Kings39c741.08$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.023240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Kings20c725.9$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.181936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kings39c719.99$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a3…b441backed Kings3c715.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.931338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac1…009abacked Kings39c714.84$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Kings21c695.48$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.052528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfaa6…42c3backed Avalanche62c693.26$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.441866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.