TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Kings63c30,572$19,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,243.917545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings60c15,543$9,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,325.9940351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Avalanche37c12,914$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1365949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche45c12,652$5,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.562,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche45c10,283$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,649.7318853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche37c6,439$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.6959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings48c3,600$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.319545.3%43 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Avalanche37c3,190$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.5120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Kings48c3,124$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.512146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche39c3,029$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Kings51c2,829$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.7126154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Kings47c2,538$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche39c1,994$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.8927044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings63c1,945$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.7576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Avalanche38c1,912$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.423735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Kings51c1,773$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.0433652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche53c1,455$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.12,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Avalanche49c1,363$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.975870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings61c1,342$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.5918453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kings50c1,305$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.451,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings61c1,159$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.71,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Kings62c1,100$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.5933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Kings49c1,008$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.154850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Avalanche37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63016546.7%77 W · 88 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche37c962.2$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.191,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Avalanche55c943.74$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche38c933.53$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9628749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Avalanche51c830.32$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche54c805.02$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7739344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Kings49c757.37$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.114447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Avalanche49c729.2$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche41c707.62$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7833450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Avalanche43c619.69$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5224946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Kings61c497.25$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Kings67c485.17$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.465662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Avalanche40c482$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.215051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Kings61c429.76$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.151827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Avalanche66c393.79$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.751,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings60c380$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Kings57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Kings48c325.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9216235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Avalanche39c289.02$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.326136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…bfb3backed Avalanche57c265.42$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Avalanche38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Kings57c253.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.295240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Kings63c249.6$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2547753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Avalanche39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.697051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Avalanche39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Avalanche40c243$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6229551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked Kings63c233.65$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings52c233.06$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.243,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Avalanche60c232.19$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.914855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Avalanche52c219.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6111852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Avalanche51c218.86$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Kings49c215.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.054134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Avalanche48c208.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.664055%22 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Avalanche39c208.05$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.558053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Kings48c201.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.591450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Avalanche37c192.04$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9856553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Avalanche37c178.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.754158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Kings64c178.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.371,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Kings57c156.37$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.314254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche37c156.03$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.31,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kings63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.784360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Kings50c153.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.156134.4%21 W · 40 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc81f…656ebacked Avalanche39c151.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche47c146.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.621,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Kings58c135.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.711741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Kings62c126.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1881157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Avalanche38c125.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.62458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Avalanche37c121.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.519757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Avalanche40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.316054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Avalanche39c120.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.466142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Kings47c113.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.242857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kings47c106.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8829533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Kings43c105.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Kings46c104.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.46550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Avalanche57c102.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a3…b441backed Kings10c100.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Kings60c97.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.563847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Avalanche38c96.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.695339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Avalanche52c90.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.643839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Kings57c90.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Kings37c90.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.762326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Kings49c89.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.752454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Avalanche38c88.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3334547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings62c80.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8454260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Kings60c80.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.057545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Kings61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Kings62c69.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4333660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings59c69.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Avalanche51c66.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.649647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Kings62c64.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9923063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Avalanche37c63.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.184459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Avalanche52c63.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2945069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Kings64c63.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.632080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Kings50c61.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.844748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Avalanche38c58.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.253756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Kings62c55.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.240162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.