MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x137e1f60e96e41514fc0711dc0d4dda79e317e5bb4a7002a4025ac4fd813dc82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 125,498$75,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,079.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 111,420$53,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,938.18 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 30,040$11,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,785.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 27,151$14,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,118.98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 20,218$8,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 15,113$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.65 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 14,032$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.66 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 13,636$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 12,902$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 9,649$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.61 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 8,210$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.07 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 7,314$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.23 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 7,266$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.07 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 6,809$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.72 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 6,688$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.87 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 6,092$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 6,000$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.99 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 4,648$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 4,521$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.64 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 3,935$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.36 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 3,505$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 3,145$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.83 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,093$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.43 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 3,058$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,658$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,640$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.4 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 2,605$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.27 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,586$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,450$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.5 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 2,383$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6182…0633backed Atlanta Braves | 3c | 2,041$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,927$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,836$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 1,801$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.35 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Atlanta Braves | 1c | 1,683$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…eaedbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,650$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,241$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.32 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,119$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.79 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 940$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.3 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 936.02$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 914.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 899.59$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 897.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.87 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 833.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 788.33$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.33 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 19c | 717.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 714.15$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.15 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Atlanta Braves | 8c | 698.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 602.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 572$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 520$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 515.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.32 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 503$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 466.02$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fa…69a8backed Atlanta Braves | 3c | 429.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 401.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 397.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 396.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 374.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…7f01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 374.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 293.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 271.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 254.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 253.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.07 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 240$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 235.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 229.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 221.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 217.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 212.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 207.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 206.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 199.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.38 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 198$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 196.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 15.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 16.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.