MLB · resolved market
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9187c99661525ef6dd88f42f0f36d5547a1647835db93301d3c3ad1bf05b76ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 23,912$14,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,883.74 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 19,928$7,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.63 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 6,059$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 3,191$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.59 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 1,018$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.51 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 645.65$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.55 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 331.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 276.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 271.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.13 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Atlanta Braves | 79c | 260.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 241.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 209.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 185.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 11c | 184.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 136.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -13.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 111.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 92.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 66.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 60.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 59.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 49.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 48.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 47.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 45.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 40.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 33.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 28.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 27.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 21.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 20.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-5.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 15.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 16.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.