TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0af1…1901

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6866.2%45 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$288.94
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.07
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$205.35
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.49
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$180
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$104.05
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+64%+$98.5
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$389.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$220.35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$558
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.2
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$231.64
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$216.44
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$224.25
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$455
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.15
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$408.47
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+537.4%+$5,648.8
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$620
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.37
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$760
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$424.88
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$609.99
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$349.99
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$456
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$162
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29%+$135
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.85
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$352.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.12
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$354.85
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.38
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.11
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.5
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$270
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$168
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.95
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$186.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,303.6%+$232.02
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$410.18
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.72
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$577.72
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$533.27
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,094.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.98
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.17
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,100
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.99
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$600
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$658.82
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$717.5
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$650
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.5
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$819.94
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.71
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$741
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$233.1
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$270
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$215
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.3
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$184.99
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$472.89
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.51
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,656.37
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.99
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$905Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$594.98
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$216
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.27
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$270
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: TEN (-6.5)backed SF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$301.92
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,684.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$347.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.