TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under52c82,350$43,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,175.4110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Under53c61,932$32,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,108.2110459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5005940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over48c48,761$23,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,405.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c40,360$18,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,592.516,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c33,637$16,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,355.184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60014842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under53c18,868$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,867.927963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c12,197$5,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,942.112,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over47c8,511$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c7,777$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.9666250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c6,518$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c6,466$3,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.6455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Over46c6,389$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.8911864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over48c6,186$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3004465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c4,065$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.0952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c3,742$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.0264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c3,146$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.851,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Under53c2,949$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.969345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over48c2,636$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.498648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over18c2,016$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.582,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under75c2,000$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c1,899$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.571,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c1,645$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.8852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over59c1,431$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.81,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over41c1,209$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7918140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under38c1,136$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.111,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Under53c1,122$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.59812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-76.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c1,083$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over50c1,067$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.726038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47010750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over47c838.45$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.075839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under73c768.79$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0225045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under40c755.46$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.5556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over47c649.38$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.2149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over65c614.44$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over50c598.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9525150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over51c571.32$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over52c568$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6221953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c567$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.491,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under57c508$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c488.76$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under53c462.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.591070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over47c412.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x845a…5606backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1965100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3614552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Under53c372.81$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.221553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under53c354$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3811858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under37c334.8$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7718941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c326.92$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.651,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over65c311.34$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.297152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd312…4a63backed Under54c302.65$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.224252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Under53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under74c254.76$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under37c244.24$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.722548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c236.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under44c235.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7432654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c231.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2430448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under53c227$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6926147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dff…1f35backed Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581850%9 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c191.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under53c187$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c186.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c182.36$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.91,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over29c167.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Under53c162.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under53c162.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60bf…ebb6backed Under39c154.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under53c143.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4612055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over47c140.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc90…6c55backed Under53c135.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Under37c135.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.355446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under27c133.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.176141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9808…3cccbacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7514753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Under53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.645151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Under50c122.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.12334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c111.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d4…b3cebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.858048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c101.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6525846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under53c93.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.189845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.