TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$612,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Spurs48c322,883$154,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,898.9887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks52c298,553$155,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,247.5472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Spurs48c49,868$23,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,931.135154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Knicks52c27,308$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks52c26,566$13,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,789.1764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.1663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs48c10,848$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks52c10,088$5,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Knicks52c9,100$4,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7326045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks52c8,648$4,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4971,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs47c8,343$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,413.0410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs48c6,963$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.7511447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks52c6,613$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.541,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Knicks52c6,601$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.531225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs47c6,342$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.3355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs71c4,952$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Knicks52c4,883$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks52c4,826$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.3218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks52c4,596$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.1852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Knicks52c3,987$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0734951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62511440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks52c3,054$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.91,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Knicks53c2,987$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks52c2,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks34c2,474$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.9453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs48c2,465$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.51,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Knicks51c2,435$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.9723251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks44c2,270$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks20c2,245$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs60c2,150$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Spurs66c2,066$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.4411048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e5…6e9bbacked Knicks13c2,055$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf6a7…f0eabacked Knicks52c2,024$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0407143.7%31 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a00…159dbacked Spurs49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Spurs48c1,958$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.4210248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Knicks52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks20c1,879$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.7993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks52c1,514$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.0749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks5c1,282$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks18c1,267$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.511,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs47c1,153$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs63c1,112$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.3452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Knicks39c1,093$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.527463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks24c1,022$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9340…e829backed Spurs49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Spurs48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks52c1,000$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.961,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs47c999.98$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Knicks52c913.14$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.832560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Knicks46c910.99$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.062846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…cec4backed Knicks53c827.25$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Spurs48c803.31$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.727447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs65c763.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5518557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks41c731.11$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks11c702$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Knicks46c682.94$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0510958.7%64 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs48c681.78$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.5325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Spurs48c620$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.47458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Spurs49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac6…a8cebacked Spurs49c602.73$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.391338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Spurs48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3129430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Knicks52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks52c576.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30057650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Knicks52c509.08$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs49c495.8$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks20c473.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3820558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Knicks38c467.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs48c450$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs62c443$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.791,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Spurs70c434.4$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks11c422.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Spurs49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1621354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Spurs49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1672250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf317…b22fbacked Spurs49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f5…2573backed Spurs49c401.08$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…6e8ebacked Knicks52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Knicks52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b2…ae24backed Knicks53c380$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.42441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Knicks5c364.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs66c345.38$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs49c340.27$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5459250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Knicks43c328.29$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8217946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs48c311.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Spurs47c311.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Knicks53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks15c279.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0930842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs48c248.63$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0713161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Knicks52c236.69$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0836842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks20c230$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Knicks52c221.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11519543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs49c217.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd41d…1426backed Knicks6c216.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5012…8414backed Spurs55c213$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs48c208.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8225554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Spurs49c208.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.242240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1205…13e2backed Knicks53c205.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Spurs49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089655.2%53 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.