NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620a41ab9fe19a28d6d438f5d338e2730e61b51694e5faf61802a7bf088dece2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 54c | 18,399$9,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,859.21 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 8c | 17,382$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 47c | 7,333$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.37 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 55c | 4,264$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 47c | 3,974$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.56 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 34c | 868.75$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 58c | 842.52$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.86 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks | 48c | 840.33$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.97 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 18c | 537.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 6c | 523.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Knicks | 64c | 476$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Knicks | 52c | 473.2$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spurs | 5c | 452.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 6c | 410.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 6c | 390.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 69c | 338.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks | 60c | 329.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 39c | 326.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Spurs | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 25c | 299$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Knicks | 76c | 282.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 55c | 249.87$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Knicks | 49c | 191.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Knicks | 76c | 180.39$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs | 34c | 176.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Spurs | 11c | 169.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Knicks | 51c | 163.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks | 74c | 151.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Knicks | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 33c | 128$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Knicks | 47c | 127.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Knicks | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Spurs | 40c | 99.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Knicks | 76c | 97.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 49c | 94.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spurs | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks | 48c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Spurs | 43c | 65.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 51c | 60.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Spurs | 38c | 55.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Spurs | 54c | 54.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks | 74c | 53.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Spurs | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Knicks | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Knicks | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Knicks | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Knicks | 48c | 39.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks | 73c | 30.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Knicks | 75c | 28.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Knicks | 52c | 27.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Knicks | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks | 64c | 24.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs | 52c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Knicks | 53c | 23.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks | 70c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
- Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.