TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Knicks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$579,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks48c90,000$43,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,349.9918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks48c85,000$40,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,799.9172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks47c84,983$39,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,800.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs52c80,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,4001,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…d46cbacked Spurs52c38,462$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,461.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Knicks48c36,768$17,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,648.825940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs51c29,369$14,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,383.2710944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Spurs51c24,234$12,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,869.953951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs51c22,982$11,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,261.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs52c22,222$11,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,666.5614538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs52c20,920$10,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,049.2725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.7763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6989…b412backed Spurs52c18,901$9,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,072.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs63c17,517$11,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,467.4439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Spurs52c13,363$6,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,414.351241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Knicks49c9,441$4,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,625.946241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks5c8,931$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.121,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs51c7,335$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.2955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs51c6,862$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.381,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks49c6,662$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.1827251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Knicks49c6,385$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.5320155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Knicks49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4007950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks9c4,921$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.71,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs51c4,209$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs51c4,197$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks26c3,925$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks18c3,587$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.5742842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Spurs51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.871464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Spurs52c3,365$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.385032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Knicks46c3,310$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.5920537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Spurs51c2,886$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.2616050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks35c2,735$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.7553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Spurs52c2,308$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Knicks49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9807143.7%31 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Knicks49c1,980$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.284452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs51c1,969$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.0489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a00…159dbacked Spurs52c1,947$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x387f…2095backed Knicks48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed Spurs52c1,792$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Spurs51c1,779$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.7221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks48c1,707$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0912741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddaf…3de6backed Spurs52c1,656$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.771566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Spurs51c1,635$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.0414148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Knicks30c1,586$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.816141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks4c1,512$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks40c1,509$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.361,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks19c1,508$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…51dcbacked Knicks49c1,471$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Knicks49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Knicks49c1,404$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Knicks41c1,400$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57311757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Spurs52c1,289$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks5c1,282$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1118140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Spurs51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.533945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Knicks49c1,193$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Knicks49c1,177$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.7310958.7%64 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Spurs52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks49c1,133$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Knicks36c1,104$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5827463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Spurs51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Knicks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Spurs51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9920247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs51c992.2$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Knicks44c907.43$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.3917747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…8414backed Spurs64c885.94$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Knicks23c885$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.951050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+74.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs66c883.42$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs51c800.98$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Knicks20c782$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de1…4fc6backed Knicks49c738.33$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs51c729.11$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Knicks49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs51c709.09$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.891,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs51c687$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs51c658.76$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.091,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs67c650.22$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2318557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs61c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Knicks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Knicks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks49c610.73$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spurs51c588.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2313161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs52c579$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1da4…1fffbacked Spurs52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+158.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Spurs52c567.21$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2621152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…7663backed Spurs53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Spurs52c540.02$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs52c538.46$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4615052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Spurs51c535$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.155358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Knicks49c510$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.93447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Knicks49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.994839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs74c471.97$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.311,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs52c462.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.831,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Knicks49c453.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+95%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs59c445.38$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4318941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks48c419.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.