TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,124 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks47c24,451$11,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.941,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Spurs52c22,811$11,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,972.216445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks27c10,310$2,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,514.391,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs20c9,712$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.3311333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs52c8,122$4,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.011,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs51c7,514$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,863.9619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks80c7,310$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.6664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks47c7,048$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.6255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Spurs53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Knicks21c4,713$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+969%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Spurs54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9918743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks46c3,498$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs60c3,052$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.7830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Knicks23c2,997$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.981936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks49c2,400$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.4118941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks61c1,578$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs44c1,534$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks31c1,385$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.1393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Knicks50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs76c1,096$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.221,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs20c826.01$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks44c786.45$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks50c751.24$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.694355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Knicks49c744.34$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4710342.7%44 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…bd51backed Knicks72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1686163.9%39 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spurs18c582.82$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5425954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs73c579.4$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.966141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spurs18c564.77$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.663644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Spurs50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Knicks52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Spurs10c487.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.774032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs70c474.56$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks32c440.23$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3618140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6bbb…70a8backed Spurs21c435.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.38425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16865762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks16c385.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…9e94backed Knicks39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.621080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+76.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Knicks50c382.38$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.586038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks31c380$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.322,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs56c379.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6310944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks72c370.53$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6484443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spurs71c336.12$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1832654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs66c332.36$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Spurs69c330.41$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.487152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs17c328$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Knicks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Spurs68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20413947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Spurs19c299.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs77c299.01$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b2…8c41backed Knicks80c296.75$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.351338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Spurs64c286.64$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.121833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks39c270.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks47c246.62$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.81,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks40c244.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs57c241.11$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks32c223$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3852053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks72c222.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Knicks54c211.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.533046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44b…5accbacked Knicks49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Knicks43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11423445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+78.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Spurs65c188.92$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0712055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Spurs54c183.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d9…496abacked Knicks30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+116.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs52c160.45$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spurs69c150.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Knicks79c134.91$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.333658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Spurs11c134.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Spurs66c127.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.952532%8 W · 17 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-41.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks27c127$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.711,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Knicks36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8026345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs47c116.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs48c113.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs76c111.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x638e…a81bbacked Spurs28c110.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Spurs46c108.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs18c101.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs49c101.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs46c101.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0425340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Spurs21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c35…a328backed Knicks49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+240.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Spurs65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.993920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7f29…ba0bbacked Knicks68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+90.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs21c96.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Spurs62c94.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6210152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62cf…43edbacked Spurs52c79.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Spurs78c79.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.969061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Spurs45c76.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4418444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Spurs62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Spurs50c68.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.453333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Knicks54c64.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.483363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Knicks18c58.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+151.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Spurs68c57.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.367154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs58c54.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7912150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe0…9e6cbacked Knicks39c53.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Knicks47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.