TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7dff…1f35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
236
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$109.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$362.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$973.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$315.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$325
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+312.4%+$303
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$258.6
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$247
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$316.9
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$484
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$539.41
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.44
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+79.9%+$409.61
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+82.9%+$1,271.64
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.5%+$222
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.6%+$443.73
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,840.02
Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+128.8%+$873.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,490.23
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$154.03
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$90.8
Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$478.65
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+237.8%+$1,055.97
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$695.87
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+335.7%+$154.1
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+41.9%+$89.79
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.93
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$135.07
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+54.3%+$175.99
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.5
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$434.38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.59
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$302.42
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.5%+$222
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Unknown’s Mystery Model win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+184.7%+$324.39
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5.1 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$141.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$771.63
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.7%+$252
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$803
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+614.3%+$171.99
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$181.91
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$774.27
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+2,172.7%+$764.8
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.9
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+96.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+1,285.3%+$1,159.61
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$208.33
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.24
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.48
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$63.4
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+50%+$268.5
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.29
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.74
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$102
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.48
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.13
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$364.99
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$884.21
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$191
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.5%+$89.8
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.88
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.65
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.68
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+226.4%+$430.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$59.8
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+383.9%+$238
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.55
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+385.4%+$79.4
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$261.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.79
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.39
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+91.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$104.13
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$103.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$66.3
Will Palantir dip to $141 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$222
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$82.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.