TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,316,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$970,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,316,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes4c78,169$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.68812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes14c75,151$10,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,270.5916350.3%82 W · 81 L+24.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+23.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes3c63,058$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85332814.9%49 W · 279 L+14.2wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes20c61,110$11,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,932.2826041.2%107 W · 153 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes9c47,733$4,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,468.7810537.1%39 W · 66 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eda…75ddbacked No66c47,267$31,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,906.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes2c45,967$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.08190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes1c38,712$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.17150%0 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes29c38,669$11,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,288.6212451.6%64 W · 60 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes35c31,016$10,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,837.1932639.3%128 W · 198 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes8c25,234$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.6714015%21 W · 119 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…6896backed Yes41c23,723$9,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,720.712445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+88.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e3…63fbbacked Yes1c22,400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53c…67a5backed Yes10c20,248$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.521421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Yes4c19,611$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb659…c375backed Yes13c18,039$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.1520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-72%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes23c16,074$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.4716040%64 W · 96 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes1c16,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-87.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5440…edd4backed No71c15,963$11,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.962119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf735…6157backed Yes1c14,722$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes2c14,281$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd21…007abacked Yes17c14,018$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed Yes23c12,695$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.89545.3%43 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes19c10,026$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.318536.5%31 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes12c9,832$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.79021.1%19 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7be…f3ecbacked Yes0c7,600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.290%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…5bd9backed Yes5c7,547$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x631c…450fbacked No71c5,921$4,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.131650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf221…2575backed Yes2c5,820$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4a…6cb1backed No60c5,571$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.472532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b49…c6debacked Yes11c5,421$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.85335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c5,119$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.512781.8%5 W · 273 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes3c5,052$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.852042.9%6 W · 198 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96fd…62f5backed Yes0c4,984$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…b4b8backed No79c4,937$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.941915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2436…1858backed Yes2c4,708$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100170%0 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Yes29c4,424$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes17c4,396$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.493119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No67c4,250$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.571060%6 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+138%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes15c4,039$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes3c4,017$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.83674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick5cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes3c3,747$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.57934.3%4 W · 89 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes31c3,599$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.413836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf008…c1a0backed Yes26c3,507$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes3c3,464$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.68666.1%4 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked Yes29c3,406$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.252718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e86…9a71backed Yes31c3,176$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes8c3,001$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.053729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes12c3,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.093225%8 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f0…1e82backed Yes13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…977fbacked Yes5c2,975$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.25352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-94.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…72bebacked No61c2,906$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b9…198cbacked Yes1c2,678$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c2,613$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.861,3948%111 W · 1,283 L-47.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes2c2,606$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.81513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0d9dbacked Yes23c2,565$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes9c2,539$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.276015%9 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes3c2,427$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.43348.8%3 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd30a…7621backed Yes2c2,293$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-75.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95a…aee7backed Yes4c2,239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed No70c2,238$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes2c2,150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.53238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes26c2,126$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.76731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9cd…ddf7backed No60c2,123$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes6c2,120$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.69303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-34%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95b1…ba1cbacked Yes3c2,027$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0366…3dbfbacked Yes13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Yes20c2,000$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.941637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5bd…169abacked Yes1c1,995$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9770%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…26c8backed No73c1,920$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.15633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…c54abacked Yes2c1,900$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.870%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3727…0b44backed Yes6c1,792$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes41c1,750$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.520049.5%99 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4c…dd95backed No73c1,749$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec7…2327backed Yes1c1,748$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…3c26backed No78c1,665$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9f…6eefbacked Yes19c1,613$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…3de9backed Yes40c1,590$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.91729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Yes7c1,587$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Yes1c1,570$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dff…1f35backed No71c1,536$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.733935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc783…f3ffbacked No71c1,486$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x178c…5ac6backed Yes1c1,449$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…6414backed Yes3c1,415$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked No62c1,315$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No79c1,262$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.713740.1%55 W · 82 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda99…ac6bbacked Yes16c1,204$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…c9f5backed No73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…0760backed Yes31c1,200$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes32c1,200$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes16c1,184$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7810331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes10c1,171$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.93925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c1,110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1317010%17 W · 153 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes23c1,100$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518040%32 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c1,088$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5248414%68 W · 416 L-39.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes18c1,010$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.364320.9%9 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…46e6backed No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fc…0109backed Yes22c989.99$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…ae72backed Yes1c974.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes25c972.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.921729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-41.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.