Movies · resolved market
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeacf5d2ce68648a88e7c57a4f0b87e1a645eb28c09b03df1a1d056f657717de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $829,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 35,208$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.43 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 4c | 26,211$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…e816backed Yes | 1c | 25,472$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 9c | 24,001$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…62f5backed Yes | 0c | 22,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…744cbacked Yes | 1c | 21,750$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 21,708$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.14 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…5798backed Yes | 7c | 20,507$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…45bcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 5c | 18,060$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.86 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked Yes | 2c | 16,610$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…7cf1backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 4c | 13,385$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 3c | 12,715$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 5c | 12,270$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.72 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…c375backed Yes | 6c | 10,826$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…e633backed Yes | 2c | 10,176$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,613$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…0a39backed Yes | 3c | 7,910$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…36aebacked Yes | 3c | 7,413$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 3c | 6,992$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed Yes | 1c | 6,909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 3c | 6,830$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…7b4dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,550$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 3c | 6,227$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…0ca7backed Yes | 4c | 6,154$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,662$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…945fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,591$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Yes | 3c | 5,537$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…fa00backed Yes | 2c | 5,510$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…1a9dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,503$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1843…e483backed Yes | 0c | 5,275$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 0c | 5,012$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 4,555$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 4,467$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 4,427$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 4,317$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,159$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,140$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…c584backed Yes | 4c | 4,102$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0116backed Yes | 4c | 4,099$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,004$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…a686backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…71aebacked Yes | 4c | 3,914$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 3,894$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…abbabacked Yes | 6c | 3,837$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 4c | 3,582$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,502$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…774ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,465$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7c…5399backed Yes | 1c | 3,419$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,325$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Yes | 5c | 3,316$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…f668backed Yes | 4c | 3,300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6aa1backed Yes | 5c | 3,084$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,031$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…2d0bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 3c | 2,904$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 6c | 2,819$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.06 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 3c | 2,766$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2de…163bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,758$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 4c | 2,716$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…1be1backed Yes | 4c | 2,401$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…5f02backed Yes | 5c | 2,400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…6a9abacked Yes | 0c | 2,303$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 1c | 2,225$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…87e3backed Yes | 9c | 2,204$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb6…1b70backed Yes | 5c | 2,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…aba5backed Yes | 6c | 2,067$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686c…86f8backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,975$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…f51cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,914$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dc31backed Yes | 1c | 1,737$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed Yes | 11c | 1,714$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…1a38backed Yes | 9c | 1,680$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 1c | 1,665$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,665$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0b44backed Yes | 49c | 1,641$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,535$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,510$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…bc5cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,502$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d6…997abacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…7b16backed Yes | 5c | 1,447$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…5ac6backed Yes | 3c | 1,432$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…f124backed Yes | 4c | 1,425$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,402$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0342…023abacked Yes | 1c | 1,392$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,334$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…626dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,253$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541f…5fa5backed Yes | 3c | 1,236$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 4c | 1,234$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…2253backed Yes | 3c | 1,173$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,159$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…32a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,134$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…737bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Yes | 7c | 1,096$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…d249backed Yes | 3c | 1,083$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.