Movies · resolved market
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaadd55114e009891392f91cb4573f6f86645815fbbd750907ac312a49218933d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $717,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 1c | 58,983$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.61 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 2c | 56,208$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.71 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…419ebacked Yes | 2c | 31,063$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 29,188$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 10c | 27,843$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 5c | 22,666$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.2 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 9c | 21,609$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.02 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked No | 75c | 20,963$15,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,140.91 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 72c | 17,420$12,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,845.04 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…c375backed Yes | 7c | 16,844$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 37c | 16,010$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003.35 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 53c | 11,919$6,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,583.42 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Yes | 10c | 11,551$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 11,543$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 31c | 10,805$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.67 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 64c | 9,779$6,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.72 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 14c | 8,976$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +138%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Yes | 5c | 8,963$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed Yes | 1c | 8,525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 17c | 7,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…75ddbacked Yes | 18c | 6,694$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 1c | 6,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…c016backed Yes | 3c | 6,197$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 36c | 5,655$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 4,667$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,972$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…888bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,812$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…b12abacked Yes | 30c | 3,782$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…7f2ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,744$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed Yes | 10c | 3,710$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,607$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 7c | 3,448$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 2c | 3,241$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 3,185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 3,146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…5798backed Yes | 5c | 3,044$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…33ffbacked Yes | 7c | 3,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 2,874$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,728$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…69debacked Yes | 8c | 2,699$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 2,687$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,663$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 2,578$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 2,552$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.66 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,524$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 3c | 2,425$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 74c | 2,329$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.63 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,259$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59da…ee69backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…7621backed Yes | 2c | 2,189$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 8c | 2,088$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…945fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…1d23backed Yes | 44c | 1,802$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Yes | 56c | 1,789$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.29 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6aa1backed Yes | 6c | 1,728$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…5b92backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…c6ffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,576$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cd…ddf7backed No | 66c | 1,511$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 19c | 1,481$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.72 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,435$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.16 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,406$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 59c | 1,364$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.22 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 53c | 1,325$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…7b16backed Yes | 3c | 1,325$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…5761backed Yes | 26c | 1,323$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…12bebacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…39e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,150$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 26c | 1,108$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…599ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,092$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…e56dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,029$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked Yes | 36c | 1,021$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…c177backed Yes | 4c | 999.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…26c8backed Yes | 6c | 922.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed No | 61c | 899.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 62c | 833.67$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 48c | 832.8$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…0031backed Yes | 3c | 820.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 2c | 807$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 12c | 800.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 6c | 793$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 39c | 774.23$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Yes | 20c | 746.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Yes | 23c | 740.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 5c | 727$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 3c | 708.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 3c | 703.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 44c | 700$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Yes | 6c | 662$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes | 5c | 658.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…3848backed Yes | 16c | 643.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 11c | 642.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…5bd2backed Yes | 10c | 637.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 50c | 611.71$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.