Movies · resolved market
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0602210f81c716a6cd1fc71f26f276e95dfe3cfdc5795ef0cd19600d242ef0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,155,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,457,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 2c | 31,565$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 4c | 29,073$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.52 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 8c | 29,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked No | 12c | 16,513$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed No | 1c | 12,522$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 73c | 10,785$7,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.37 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…87a8backed No | 1c | 8,173$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 6,352$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 27c | 6,014$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.16 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 79c | 6,000$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +138%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 2c | 5,824$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 78c | 5,785$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.09 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…5cc9backed No | 7c | 5,450$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 5,134$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked No | 10c | 5,097$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…e56dbacked No | 28c | 4,557$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 13c | 4,381$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.94 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 4c | 4,213$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…007abacked Yes | 37c | 4,046$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 6c | 4,030$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 61c | 3,994$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.05 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked No | 16c | 3,980$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 3,962$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…f461backed No | 3c | 3,818$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked No | 44c | 3,632$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…5054backed No | 1c | 3,629$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed No | 3c | 3,611$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 3,559$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…c375backed Yes | 71c | 3,464$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 80c | 3,349$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 71c | 3,169$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed No | 3c | 3,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 5c | 3,073$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked No | 1c | 3,044$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 40c | 3,038$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.57 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 23c | 2,843$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.92 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 2,821$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Yes | 49c | 2,683$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 17c | 2,550$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.97 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 9c | 2,538$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…3543backed No | 1c | 2,398$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…5b92backed No | 12c | 2,208$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 3c | 2,149$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked No | 11c | 2,046$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 2,039$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…aee7backed No | 10c | 2,014$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 6c | 1,938$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 11c | 1,927$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 75c | 1,501$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.9 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…92c3backed Yes | 79c | 1,345$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 12c | 1,340$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 64c | 1,332$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.59 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 59c | 1,312$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…5bd9backed No | 9c | 1,307$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 21c | 1,303$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed No | 2c | 1,273$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 21c | 1,231$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.64 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 2c | 1,170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,149$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…7cf1backed No | 2c | 1,016$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 64c | 986.34$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.96 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…8393backed No | 5c | 932.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd444…aba5backed Yes | 35c | 861.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 2c | 776.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 69c | 749$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…d40ebacked Yes | 76c | 706.68$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed No | 7c | 703.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 63c | 650.47$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed No | 2c | 590.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 79c | 569.6$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 567.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 2c | 521.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…06d6backed Yes | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…3dbfbacked No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…1cb7backed Yes | 67c | 499.88$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Yes | 56c | 481$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 49c | 457.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 67c | 450.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 29c | 450$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 79c | 440.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…b131backed No | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…d837backed No | 3c | 423.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 39c | 410.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…95d0backed No | 10c | 403.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…368dbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…a799backed Yes | 68c | 397.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked No | 22c | 395.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…69debacked No | 26c | 385.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 378.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…2d16backed No | 59c | 375.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…bc6ebacked Yes | 63c | 342.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 69c | 335$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…79c8backed No | 4c | 324.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.